United StatesUS 10-Year TIPS Auction climbed to 2.65% in August 2026
US 10-Year TIPS Auction climbed to 2.65% in August 2026, released 17 Sep 2026, up 0.21% from July's 2.44% reading.
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Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year TIPS Auction (United States) was reported at 2.65% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.44%. The 12 releases before this one averaged 2%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. Across releases published in September over the past 3 years, 10-Year TIPS Auction has averaged 1.99%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 19, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Core PPI MoM (Nov 13) and Producer Price Index MoM (Nov 13).
10-Year TIPS Auction - US
About 10-Year TIPS Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 10-Year TIPS Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) through a competitive bidding process. TIPS are a type of bond that offers protection against inflation by adjusting their principal value based on changes in the Consumer Price Index. The auction results provide insight into investor sentiment and expectations for future inflation, making it a valuable tool for assessing market conditions and informing investment decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.653 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.438 %. Before that (May 2026, first reported): 2.169 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast is 2.91% (latest print 2.65%). The projection is based on the indicator's own recent trend. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, November 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 191 | 195 | 197.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1697 | 1717 | 1710 | 1703.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 195.25 | 195.25 | 192.5 | 193.88 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -5.5 | 1 | 0.3 | -2.60 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.75 | 3.97 | 3.85 | 3.80 | High |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 4.657 | -0.865 | -1.1 | 1.78 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 4.071 | -3.565 | -1 | 1.54 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 1.799 | -0.222 | -0.1 | 0.85 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -404 | -27 | -298.6 | -351.30 | Medium |
| Friday, November 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 159.78 | 160 | 160.00 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 66 | 66.00 | Low | |
| Monday, November 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 25.5 | 10 | 14.80 | High | |
Editorial review: Neha Gupta, AnalystLinkedIn profile
Neha Gupta is a Chartered Financial Analyst with over 18 years of experience in finance and more than 11 years as a financial writer. She’s authored for clients worldwide, including platforms like MarketWatch, TipRanks, InsiderMonkey, and Seeking Alpha. Her work is known for its technical rigor, clear communication, and compliance-awareness—evident in her success enhancing market updates.