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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 10-Year TIPS Auction climbed to 2.65% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
US 10-Year TIPS Auction climbed to 2.65% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.21% from July's 2.44% reading.
Latest Release
2.653000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.438000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
10-Year TIPS Auction (United States) was reported at 2.65% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.44%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.42%, up from the prior three at 1.82%. In September readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year TIPS Auction has averaged 1.99%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Bowman Speech (Sep 28) and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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10-Year TIPS Auction - US
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About 10-Year TIPS Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 10-Year TIPS Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) through a competitive bidding process. TIPS are a type of bond that offers protection against inflation by adjusting their principal value based on changes in the Consumer Price Index. The auction results provide insight into investor sentiment and expectations for future inflation, making it a valuable tool for assessing market conditions and informing investment decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.653 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.438 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.169 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 11.6 | 1 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.015 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index | 442.5 | 442.9 | 442.40 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Medium | |
| 13:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Low | |
| 13:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 89.4 | 90 | 90.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.271 | 7.23 | 7.23 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.056 | 3 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 6.6 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | Dallas Fed Services Index | 4.2 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |