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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 6-Month T-Bill Auction fell to 2.9% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US 6-Month T-Bill Auction fell to 2.9% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.14% from December's 3.04% reading.
Latest Release
2.900000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.040000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
6-Month T-Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 2.9% in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.04%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17) and Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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6-Month T-Bill Auction - US
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About 6-Month T-Bill Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 6-Month T-Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities known as Treasury Bills. These auctions are held every six months and provide insight into the current market sentiment and interest rates for these highly liquid and low-risk investments. The results of the auction can impact the overall economy and serve as a key benchmark for short-term interest rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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