US Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 15.7B in January 2025
US Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 15.7B in January 2025, released February 2025, down 0.1B from December's 15.8B reading. The reading matched the 15.4B consensus.
Latest Release
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (United States) was reported at 15.70 billion in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 15.40 billion by 0.30 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 15.80 billion.
WHY IT MATTERS
In February readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 250.30 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Schmid Speech (Nov 10) and Fed Bowman Speech (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
Foreign Exchange Reserves - US
About Foreign Exchange Reserves — United States
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts and Rolling-Surprise economic predictions.
Expected Zones · 60/80/95% Bands · 1,400+ instruments
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, November 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Wholesale Sales MoM | 2.8 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.95 | Low | |
| 16:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.85 | Low | |
| 16:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.06 | 4.04 | 4.009 | 4.03 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.8 | 97.9 | 97.7 | 98.30 | Low | |
| 13:30 | CPI s.a | 337.48 | 336.3 | 337 | 337.17 | High | |
| 13:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.33 | High | |
| 13:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.23 | High | |
| 13:30 | CPI | 337.51 | 336.94 | 337.02 | 337.13 | High | |
| 13:55 | Redbook YoY | 10.1 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 9.70 | Low | |
| 21:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -5.267 | -1 | 3.79 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | Budget Balance | -27 | -298 | -339.85 | Medium | ||