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US GDP Price Index YoY climbed to 2.8% in November 2024, released February 2025, up 0.4% from October's 2.4% reading. The reading matched the 2.8% consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Price Index YoY (United States) was reported at 2.8% in November 2024. This matched the market consensus of 2.8% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.4%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Existing Home Sales MoM (Aug 11) and Existing Home Sales (Aug 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
The GDP Price Index YoY is a key financial indicator that measures the change in prices of all goods and services produced within a country over a one-year period. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary trends and the purchasing power of consumers, making it a crucial tool for assessing the health of a country's economy. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and forecast future economic conditions.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.4 | 97.8 | 97.70 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -2.4 | -0.7 | -1.65 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.09 | 4.07 | 4.05 | High | ||
| Wednesday, August 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 333.95 | 334.03 | 334.39 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 332.568 | 332.6 | 332.85 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core CPI MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | ||
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -120 | -294.6 | -297.10 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -120 | -294.6 | -265.70 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, August 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1801 | 1799 | 1799.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 199 | 198 | 198.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 5.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.55 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.55 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198.75 | 197 | 197.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.566 | 156.41 | 157.36 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.5 | 5 | 5.55 | Low | ||