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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 4-Week Bill Auction fell to 3.6% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US 4-Week Bill Auction fell to 3.6% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.02% from April's 3.62% reading.
Latest Release
3.595000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.615000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
4-Week Bill Auction (United States) was reported at 3.6% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.62%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.86%, ranging from 3.55% to 4.3% across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.61%, up from the prior three at 3.61%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.26%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.42%). In June readings over the past 3 years, 4-Week Bill Auction has averaged 4.55%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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4-Week Bill Auction - US
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About 4-Week Bill Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 4-Week Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It is a type of auction where the US Treasury Department sells 4-week Treasury bills to investors, with the interest rate determined by the highest bid. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current sentiment towards the US economy and the government's ability to borrow money. A high demand for these bills indicates confidence in the economy, while a low demand may signal concerns about the government's financial stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.595 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3.615 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.63 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.