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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Leisure Hospitality Payrolls climbed to 16,978 Thousands in March 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased April 2026
US Leisure Hospitality Payrolls climbed to 16,978 Thousands in March 2026, released April 2026, up 14 Thousands from February's 16,964 Thousands reading.
Latest Release
16978.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
16964.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Leisure Hospitality Payrolls (United States) was reported at 16,978.00 Thousands in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 16,964.00 Thousands. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 16,931.30 Thousands, ranging from 16,848.00 Thousands to 16,978.00 Thousands across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 16,959.00 Thousands, up from the prior three at 16,954.33 Thousands. Volatility over the past year (σ 41.16 Thousands) is higher than the prior year (σ 35.14 Thousands). In April readings over the past 3 years, Leisure Hospitality Payrolls has averaged 16,858.67 Thousands.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Building Permits MoM (Jun 16) and Building Permits (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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Leisure Hospitality Payrolls - US
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About Leisure Hospitality Payrolls — United States
DEFINITION
US Leisure Hospitality Payrolls rose to 16961.000000K in November 2025, up from October’s 16936.000000K, marking a steady sector recovery. The 25,000 increase extends a three-month growth streak and places payrolls 138,000 above May’s 16839.000000K level. Market reaction was muted, with no immediate impact on Federal Reserve policy or risk assets. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 16,978 Thousands. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 16,964 Thousands. Before that (Feb 2026): 16,935 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.65) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.