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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Leisure Hospitality Payrolls fell to 16,951 Thousands in May 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Leisure Hospitality Payrolls fell to 16,951 Thousands in May 2026, released June 2026, down 61 Thousands from April's 17,012 Thousands reading.
Latest Release
16951.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
17012.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Leisure Hospitality Payrolls (United States) was reported at 16,951.00 Thousands in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 17,012.00 Thousands. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 16,948.82 Thousands, ranging from 16,870.00 Thousands to 17,012.00 Thousands across 11 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 16,978.33 Thousands, up from the prior three at 16,960.00 Thousands. Volatility over the past year (σ 35.94 Thousands) is higher than the prior year (σ 31.62 Thousands). In June readings over the past 3 years, Leisure Hospitality Payrolls has averaged 16,844.00 Thousands.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jul 21) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Leisure Hospitality Payrolls - US
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About Leisure Hospitality Payrolls — United States
DEFINITION
US Leisure Hospitality Payrolls for June registered at 16951.000000K, missing May’s 17012.000000K level. This marks a slight decline from May’s reading, indicating a modest contraction in the sector’s employment. Market focus will remain on upcoming labor data and Federal Reserve signals amid this softening trend. Updated 7/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 16,951 Thousands. Prior reading (May 2026): 17,012 Thousands. Before that (Apr 2026): 16,972 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD, r=0.71) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, July 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -0.15 | Medium |