Loading page content
Loading page content
US S&P 500 Index climbed to 7,432.97 in May 2026, up 79.36 from April's 7,353.61 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.74 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | STOCKS | Bullish GOOGL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P 500 Index (United States) was reported at 7,432.97 (index) in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 7,353.61 (index). Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6,661.63 (index), ranging from 5,802.82 (index) to 7,501.24 (index) across 251 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 7,396.54 (index), down from the prior three at 7,451.33 (index). Volatility over the past year (σ 353.90 (index)) is higher than the prior year (σ 259.05 (index)). In May readings over the past 3 years, S&P 500 Index has averaged 5,774.19 (index).
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Leading Index MoM (May 22) and Fed Waller Speech (May 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.864 | -4.306 | -2.9 | -5.38 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 0.372 | 0.19 | -1.1 | -0.36 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -1.548 | -4.084 | -2.1 | -1.82 | Medium | |
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.442 | 1.363 | 1.39 | 1.53 | High | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | 12 | -3.5 | -3.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.507 | 1.41 | 1.44 | High | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 5.8 | -11.5 | 0.5 | 3.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1776 | 1790 | 1786.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.5 | 204 | 203 | 202.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 26.7 | 18 | 15.73 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 209 | 212 | 210 | 209.50 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 50.9 | 51 | 51.1 | 50.88 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.7 | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.60 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.3 | 54.5 | 53.8 | 53.88 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.3 | 4 | 4 | 3.92 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 101 | 85 | 95 | 98.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8.50 | Low | |