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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 3-Year Note Auction climbed to 4.29% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
US 3-Year Note Auction climbed to 4.29% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.11% from June's 4.18% reading.
Latest Release
4.291000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.179000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Year Note Auction (United States) was reported at 4.29% in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.18%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.78%, ranging from 3.49% to 4.29% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.22%, up from the prior three at 3.69%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.3%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.25%). In August readings over the past 3 years, 3-Year Note Auction has averaged 3.92%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with AAPL, negatively correlated (Bearish AAPL).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9) and API Crude Oil Stock Change (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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3-Year Note Auction - US
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About 3-Year Note Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 3-Year Note Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for US Treasury notes with a maturity of three years. It is conducted by the US Department of the Treasury and provides insight into the current market sentiment and investor confidence in the economy. The results of the auction can impact interest rates and serve as a gauge for the overall health of the financial market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 4.291 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 4.179 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 4.192 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bullish USD, r=0.76) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.709 | 3.71 | Low | |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 11.3 | 11.30 | Low | |