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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 3-Year Note Auction climbed to 3.58% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
US 3-Year Note Auction climbed to 3.58% in February 2026, released March 2026, up 0.06% from January's 3.52% reading.
Latest Release
3.579000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.518000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Year Note Auction (United States) was reported at 3.58% in February 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.52%. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.65%, ranging from 3.49% to 3.97% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.57%, down from the prior three at 3.59%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.15%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.32%). In March readings over the past 3 years, 3-Year Note Auction has averaged 3.91%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with NZD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish NZD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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3-Year Note Auction - US
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About 3-Year Note Auction — United States
DEFINITION
The 3-Year Note Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for US Treasury notes with a maturity of three years. It is conducted by the US Department of the Treasury and provides insight into the current market sentiment and investor confidence in the economy. The results of the auction can impact interest rates and serve as a gauge for the overall health of the financial market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 3.965 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 3.897 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 3.579 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.56) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.