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US Used Car Prices MoM climbed to 0.3 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.9 from April's -1.6 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Used Car Prices MoM (United States) was reported at 0.30 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.60. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.64, ranging from -0.50 to 2.40 across 9 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.17, up from the prior three at 0.40. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.90) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.31). In June readings over the past 3 years, Used Car Prices MoM has averaged -0.57.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with MSFT (Bullish MSFT). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP).
The next release is scheduled for July 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Used Car Prices MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average prices of used cars from one month to the next. It is a key metric for tracking the health of the used car market and can provide valuable insights for investors, economists, and consumers. This indicator is often used to gauge the overall strength of the economy and consumer spending habits. A positive change in Used Car Prices MoM may indicate a growing economy and increased consumer confidence, while a negative change may suggest a weakening economy and decreased consumer spending.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -1.6 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.4 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with MSFT (Bullish MSFT, r=0.48) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 13.2 | 11.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.25 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 37 | 37.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1790 | 1790.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 10.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 223.00 | Low | ||