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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Used Car Prices MoM fell to 0.8 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
US Used Car Prices MoM fell to 0.8 in February 2026, released March 2026, down 1.6 from January's 2.4 reading.
Latest Release
0.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | STOCKS | Bullish MSFT | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | STOCKS | Bearish AAPL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Used Car Prices MoM (United States) was reported at -1.60 in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.40. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.46, ranging from -1.40 to 2.40 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.10, up from the prior three at 0.37. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.11) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.24). In March readings over the past 3 years, Used Car Prices MoM has averaged 0.00.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with MSFT, positively correlated (Bullish MSFT).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Used Car Prices MoM - US
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About Used Car Prices MoM — United States
DEFINITION
Used Car Prices MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average prices of used cars from one month to the next. It is a key metric for tracking the health of the used car market and can provide valuable insights for investors, economists, and consumers. This indicator is often used to gauge the overall strength of the economy and consumer spending habits. A positive change in Used Car Prices MoM may indicate a growing economy and increased consumer confidence, while a negative change may suggest a weakening economy and decreased consumer spending.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -1.6 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.66) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.