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US Used Car Prices MoM climbed to -0.9 in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.5 from July's -1.4 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Used Car Prices MoM (United States) was reported at -0.90 in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.40. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.30, ranging from -1.40 to 2.40 across 8 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged -0.67, down from the prior three at 1.10. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.13) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.12). In September readings over the past 3 years, Used Car Prices MoM has averaged 0.10.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with AAPL, positively correlated (Bullish AAPL).
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
Used Car Prices MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the average prices of used cars from one month to the next. It is a key metric for tracking the health of the used car market and can provide valuable insights for investors, economists, and consumers. This indicator is often used to gauge the overall strength of the economy and consumer spending habits. A positive change in Used Car Prices MoM may indicate a growing economy and increased consumer confidence, while a negative change may suggest a weakening economy and decreased consumer spending.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -0.9 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -1.4 %. Before that (May 2026): 0.3 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish USD, r=0.62) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 334.131 | 332.81 | 334.14 | 334.14 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI | 334.98 | 333.92 | 334.85 | 334.92 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 51.9 | 51.3 | 51.10 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 45.8 | 51.5 | 50.5 | 48.15 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 47.8 | 51.7 | 51 | 49.40 | High | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 3.9 | 4.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.40 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -167 | -432 | -404 | -285.50 | Medium | |
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.8999 | 3.90 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | ||