United StatesUS CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions fell to 163.6K in October 2026
US CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions fell to 163.6K in October 2026, released November 2026, down 40.5K from September's 204.1K reading.
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Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Method: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions (United States) was reported at 164 thousand in November 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 204 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through November 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 183 thousand, ranging from -8 thousand to 282 thousand across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 205 thousand, down from the prior three at 267 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 70 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 33 thousand). In November readings over the past 3 years, CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions has averaged 65 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Schmid Speech (Nov 10) and Fed Bowman Speech (Nov 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2026.
CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions - US
About CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
US CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions fell to 163.600 K in November from October’s 204.100 K, marking a significant decline. The drop indicates a reduction in speculative bullish bets on soybeans compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch upcoming USDA reports for further positioning cues. Updated 11/6/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2026): actual 163.6 K. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 204.1 K. Before that (Oct 2026, first reported): 246.6 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast is 127.77K (latest print 163.6K). The 3-month forecast is 56.1K. The projection is based on the indicator's own recent trend.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, November 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Sales MoM | 2.8 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.95 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.85 | Low |
| 16:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.06 | 4.04 | 4.009 | 4.03 | Low |
| Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.8 | 97.9 | 97.7 | 98.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 337.48 | 336.3 | 337 | 337.17 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.33 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.23 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 337.51 | 336.94 | 337.02 | 337.13 | High |
| 13:55 | US | Redbook YoY | 10.1 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 9.70 | Low |
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -5.267 | -1 | 3.79 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, November 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -27 | -298 | -339.85 | Medium | |