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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CPI Shelter climbed to 426.64 in March 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased April 2026
US CPI Shelter climbed to 426.64 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 2.57 from February's 424.07 reading.
Latest Release
426.642000
Actual
—
Consensus
424.069000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.78 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI Shelter (United States) was reported at 426.64 Index 1982-84=100 in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 424.07 Index 1982-84=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 420.89 Index 1982-84=100, ranging from 415.93 Index 1982-84=100 to 426.64 Index 1982-84=100 across 9 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 424.55 Index 1982-84=100, up from the prior three at 420.81 Index 1982-84=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.21 Index 1982-84=100) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.34 Index 1982-84=100). In April readings over the past 3 years, CPI Shelter has averaged 412.29 Index 1982-84=100.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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CPI Shelter - US
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About CPI Shelter — United States
DEFINITION
US CPI Shelter rose to 421.039000 in December, up from November’s 419.431000, marking the highest level in over a year. The index has increased steadily each month since February, reflecting persistent upward pressure on housing costs. Market reaction was muted, but the ongoing climb keeps shelter inflation a key focus for policymakers and investors. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 426.6 Index 1982-84=100. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 424.1 Index 1982-84=100. Before that (Feb 2026): 422.9 Index 1982-84=100.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.78) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.