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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Total Nonfarm Payrolls climbed to 158,736 Thousands in March 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased April 2026
US Total Nonfarm Payrolls climbed to 158,736 Thousands in March 2026, released April 2026, up 115 Thousands from February's 158,621 Thousands reading.
Latest Release
158736.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
158621.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Total Nonfarm Payrolls (United States) was reported at 158,736.00 Thousands in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 158,621.00 Thousands. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 158,523.60 Thousands, ranging from 158,408.00 Thousands to 158,736.00 Thousands across 10 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 158,597.67 Thousands, up from the prior three at 158,491.00 Thousands. Volatility over the past year (σ 98.93 Thousands) is lower than the prior year (σ 268.90 Thousands). In April readings over the past 3 years, Total Nonfarm Payrolls has averaged 158,250.33 Thousands.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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Total Nonfarm Payrolls - US
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About Total Nonfarm Payrolls — United States
DEFINITION
US Total Nonfarm Payrolls rose to 159001.000000K in May, surpassing April’s 158829.000000K. This increase of 172,000 jobs signals continued labor market expansion from April to May. Market focus remains on upcoming Federal Reserve decisions amid steady job growth. Updated 6/6/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 158,736 Thousands. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 158,621 Thousands. Before that (Feb 2026): 158,436 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.