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United States Employment Change
Latest Release
77.000000
Actual
141.000000
Consensus
186.000000
Previous
Employment Change (United States) was reported at 77 thousand in March 2025. This missed the market consensus of 141 thousand by 64 thousand. The reading fell from the previous value of 186 thousand. The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
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Employment Change - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.810000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.310000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6582.690000 | 6575.320000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.610000 | 0.630000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.540000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6575.320000 | 6528.520000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6675344.000000 | 6657161.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.540000 | 25.250000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.630000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.160000 | 3.280000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Consumption Forecast | 104.382976 | 103.696894 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Production Forecast | 104.475189 | 101.816860 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.810000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.300000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.540000 | 2.570000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.300000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6528.520000 | 6343.720000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.250000 | 30.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.280000 | 3.460000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.530000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.820000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.300000 | 4.350000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6343.720000 | 6368.850000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.990000 | 3.961000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 30.610000 | 31.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.640000 | 0.710000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.980000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 104.690000 | 101.260000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.880000 | 121.470000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.460000 | 3.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.530000 | 0.560000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.820000 | 3.880000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.350000 | 4.440000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 202000.000000 | 211000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6368.850000 | 6477.160000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152000 | 1.154200 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 160.160000 | 159.650000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 31.050000 | 27.440000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.710000 | 0.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.182800 | -0.368000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.433660 | -0.453890 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.980000 | 4.930000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 101.260000 | 96.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.470000 | 113.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.420000 | 3.210000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.560000 | 0.460000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 6454.000000 | 6464.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13657.000000 | 13657.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 240861.000000 | 241447.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 117825.000000 | 119936.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.880000 | 3.960000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.440000 | 4.420000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.510000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6477.160000 | 6591.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.154200 | 1.157000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.650000 | 159.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.440000 | 25.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.690000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.930000 | 4.890000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.180000 | 91.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 113.390000 | 109.140000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.210000 | 3.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.460000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.960000 | 3.840000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.420000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.510000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6591.900000 | 6556.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157000 | 1.157800 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.200000 | 158.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6657161.000000 | 6655939.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.330000 | 26.950000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.650000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.890000 | 4.940000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 91.510000 | 93.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 109.140000 | 108.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.170000 | 3.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.490000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.840000 | 3.900000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.390000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.530000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.330000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6556.370000 | 6581.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157800 | 1.158700 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.900000 | 158.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.950000 | 26.150000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.650000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.940000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 93.180000 | 89.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 108.420000 | 103.790000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.190000 | 3.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.490000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.900000 | 3.830000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.390000 | 4.340000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.530000 | 2.630000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.330000 | 2.380000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6581.000000 | 6506.480000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.961000 | 3.720000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.158700 | 1.154300 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.700000 | 159.260000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.150000 | 26.780000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.650000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.960000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 89.330000 | 98.710000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 103.790000 | 118.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.190000 | 3.240000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.830000 | 3.880000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.340000 | 4.390000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1841000.000000 | 1816000.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 211000.000000 | 205000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.630000 | 2.610000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.380000 | 2.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6506.480000 | 6606.490000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.154300 | 1.151500 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.260000 | 158.190000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.780000 | 24.060000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.650000 | 0.520000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.368000 | -0.300000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.453890 | -0.473570 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.960000 | 4.830000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 98.710000 | 96.110000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 118.420000 | 111.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.240000 | 3.270000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.460000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 6464.000000 | 7194.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13657.000000 | 13668.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 241447.000000 | 244040.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 119936.000000 | 116904.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.880000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.390000 | 4.250000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.610000 | 2.660000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.370000 | 2.400000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6606.490000 | 6624.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.151500 | 1.151300 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.190000 | 159.480000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.060000 | 25.090000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.530000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.830000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.110000 | 96.120000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 111.050000 | 118.090000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.270000 | 3.200000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.460000 | 0.500000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.760000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.250000 | 4.260000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, March 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.660000 | 2.620000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.400000 | 2.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6624.700000 | 6716.090000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.151300 | 1.152500 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.480000 | 159.030000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6655939.000000 | 6646344.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.090000 | 22.370000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.530000 | 0.480000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.850000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.120000 | 96.010000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 118.090000 | 108.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.200000 | 3.220000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.500000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.760000 | 3.680000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.260000 | 4.200000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.620000 | 2.580000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.370000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6716.090000 | 6699.380000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152500 | 1.148700 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.030000 | 159.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 22.370000 | 23.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.480000 | 0.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.850000 | 4.860000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.010000 | 93.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 108.390000 | 101.040000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.220000 | 3.270000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.550000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.680000 | 3.680000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.200000 | 4.230000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.580000 | 2.610000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.360000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6699.380000 | 6632.190000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.720000 | 3.502000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.148700 | 1.144400 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.300000 | 159.540000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 23.510000 | 27.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.560000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.860000 | 4.900000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 93.390000 | 98.480000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 101.040000 | 103.230000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.270000 | 3.280000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.550000 | 0.550000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.680000 | 3.730000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.230000 | 4.280000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1816000.000000 | 1851000.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 205000.000000 | 213000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.610000 | 2.630000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.360000 | 2.380000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6632.190000 | 6672.620000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.144400 | 1.152200 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.540000 | 159.210000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.190000 | 27.290000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.560000 | 0.550000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.300000 | -0.429500 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.473570 | -0.494430 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.900000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 98.480000 | 95.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 103.230000 | 102.380000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.280000 | 3.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.550000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 7194.000000 | 6422.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13668.000000 | 13678.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 244040.000000 | 249476.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 116904.000000 | 119431.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.730000 | 3.760000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.280000 | 4.270000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.630000 | 2.580000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.380000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6672.620000 | 6775.800000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152200 | 1.156600 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.210000 | 158.830000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.290000 | 24.230000 | - | - | high |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost Index QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.08 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost - Wages QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.3 | 99.5 | 99.8 | 99.67 | Low |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 24.05 | 4.7 | 9 | 11.29 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 56.6 | 57 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 57.3 | 56.4 | 53 | 54.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 58.3 | 55.4 | 53 | 54.80 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 4 | 4 | 3.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.40 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | - | 50 | 40 | 35.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | - | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | - | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | - | 37 | 32 | 18.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | - | -8 | -10 | -11.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | - | 62.4 | 62.3 | 62.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | - | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | - | 13 | 8 | 19.50 | Low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.542 | 6.928 | 7 | 6.77 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 231 | 209 | 214 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 212.25 | 206.25 | 210 | 208.88 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 108.435 | 35.553 | 43 | 36.09 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | - | 16 | 15.5 | 15.43 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 50.3 | 51.7 | 52.3 | 52.55 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 53.1 | 56.5 | 55 | 55.85 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.5 | 54.13 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 66.6 | 65.1 | 65 | 65.25 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.45 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.77 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 14.9 | 16 | 15.5 | 15.43 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 22 | 37 | 35 | 30.25 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47 | 46.97 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47.9 | 47.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | - | 7.146 | 7 | 6.77 | High |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | - | 3.161 | 3.15 | 3.24 | Low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 16:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 57.1 | 47.4 | 47.9 | 50.33 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.1 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 45.82 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 59 | 58.5 | 59.9 | 59.55 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.6 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 49.20 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 52.15 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 54 | 42.7 | 45 | 49.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.63 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 1.70 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -56.8 | -29.2 | -37 | -34.58 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Exports | 292.1 | 303 | 303 | 297.55 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 5.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Imports | 348.9 | 332.1 | 340 | 344.45 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -2.63 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index | -3 | -6 | -2 | -2.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -11 | -6 | -5.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -6 | -7 | -3 | -4.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 84.5 | 94.2 | 90.6 | 87.55 | High |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.30 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index | 439.3 | 436.8 | 438 | 438.65 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.45 | Low |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 5.3 | -2.1 | 1.1 | 3.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.42 | -0.4 | -0.22 | Medium |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.45 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 55.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 52.5 | 52.3 | 52.30 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.8 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 52.5 | 52.8 | 52.75 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 51.8 | 52.1 | 52.35 | High |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | - | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | - | -3 | 5 | 5.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | - | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | - | 0.2 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | - | 198 | 195 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | - | 1884 | 1880 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | - | 205 | 203 | 201.88 | High |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | - | 7.5 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.10 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | - | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | - | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | - | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 55.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 39 | 40 | 38.50 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.35 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76 | 76 | 76.15 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -71 | -119 | -90 | -86.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 198 | 207 | 215 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.4 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.02 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | - | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1884 | 1903 | 1890 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.7 | -3.7 | 1 | 4.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | - | 0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.6 | -8.8 | -2 | 5.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205 | 211.5 | 215 | 213.88 | High |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.029 | 5.594 | -0.2 | 0.69 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.391 | -3.831 | -2.2 | -2.04 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 8.977 | 7.702 | 4 | 6.44 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | - | 47.9 | 47.4 | 47.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.35 | 4.14 | 4.21 | 4.28 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 5.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 1.75 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.10 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.02 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | - | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Current Account | -226.4 | -249.2 | -238.4 | -232.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 3.15 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.25 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 5.27 | -2.8 | -2 | -1.18 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -145 | -173 | -150 | -147.50 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -145 | -173 | -144.5 | -144.75 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 800 | 710 | 710.00 | High |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 0.8 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.65 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 324.05 | 324.12 | 323.8 | 323.93 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 326.03 | 325.031 | 325.7 | 325.87 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.411 | 1.415 | 1.412 | 2.81 | Low |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.5 | 99 | 99.5 | 99.38 | Low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 13.28 | 1.55 | 13.1 | 13.19 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.68 | 2.13 | 1.65 | 1.67 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 3.29 | 0.32 | 3.28 | 3.29 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 54 | 52.9 | 53.5 | 54.70 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 52.4 | 50.4 | 50.5 | 52.30 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 55 | 54.6 | 54.2 | 54.80 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.60 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.246 | 1.306 | 1.33 | 1.29 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -4.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -1.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 6.4 | -2.3 | 0.8 | 2.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 13 | 6 | -10 | 1.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | -8 | -2 | -5 | -6.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 37 | 50 | 64 | 50.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | 62.4 | 62.5 | 62.6 | 62.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 50 | 56 | 60 | 55.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.2 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.25 | Low |
| Thursday, January 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10 | 7.12 | Low |
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10.1 | 12.39 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.50 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -119 | -38 | -114 | -110.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3 | 3.48 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 208 | 200 | 210 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1914 | 1858 | 1900 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 211.75 | 219 | 210.75 | 209.63 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | 1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -29.4 | -48.1 | -58.9 | -56.47 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 82.09 | Low |
| 10:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 82.09 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 7.702 | 5.845 | 2.9 | 5.34 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.831 | -1.934 | 1.1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 5.594 | 4.977 | 2.2 | 3.09 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.146 | 7.449 | 7.6 | 7.37 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders ex Transportation | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.25 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.90 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.161 | 2.973 | 2.99 | 3.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.2 | 52.83 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | 53.45 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 49 | 49.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 64.9 | 65.15 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.3 | 53.35 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | 56 | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.50 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 41 | -29 | 47 | 42.25 | High |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.02 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.7 | 54.2 | 53 | 52.98 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.5 | 54.1 | 52.9 | 52.85 | Low |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16 | 15.6 | 15.7 | 15.63 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | - | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | - | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | - | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | - | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | - | 52.6 | 52 | 53.05 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 44.9 | 44 | 44.1 | 45.13 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 47.7 | 47.4 | 47.2 | 49.63 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 58.5 | 58.5 | 59 | 58.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.3 | 49.30 | High |
