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United States Federal Funds Effective Rate
Latest Release
3.640000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.640000
Previous
Federal Funds Effective Rate (United States) was reported at 3.64 Percent in March 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.01 Percent, ranging from 3.64 Percent to 4.33 Percent across 11 releases. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bearish USD). This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
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Federal Funds Effective Rate - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, April 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.400000 | 51.900000 | 51.400000 | 51.38 | low |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.100000 | 51.700000 | 51.100000 | 51.07 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16.300000 | 15.800000 | 15.000000 | 15.17 | low |
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.170000 | 3.160000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.810000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.310000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6582.690000 | 6575.320000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.610000 | 0.630000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Balance Sheet | 6.680000 | 6.660000 | 6.600000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | US | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 411.000000 | 409.000000 | 420.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.460000 | 6.380000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | 5.770000 | 5.750000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | 1.900000 | 1.83 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 4-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.620000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 8-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.630000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 36.000000 | -54.000000 | 34.000000 | 35.83 | low |
| 00:00 | US | All Truck Sales | 13.650000 | 13.080000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | All Car Sales | 2.700000 | 2.680000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -83.500000 | -80.900000 | -84.000000 | -83.75 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.750000 | 210.750000 | 214.000000 | 213.08 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Exports | 314.800000 | 302.200000 | 304.000000 | 303.98 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Imports | 372.100000 | 356.900000 | 364.000000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1841.000000 | 1816.000000 | 1840.000000 | 1834.00 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 202.000000 | 211.000000 | 212.000000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | US | Balance of Trade | -57.300000 | -54.700000 | -59.200000 | -57.27 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83.500000 | -80.900000 | -84.000000 | -83.75 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 60.620000 | 48.307000 | 90.000000 | 87.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.540000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6575.320000 | 6528.520000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6675344.000000 | 6657161.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.540000 | 25.250000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.630000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 17-Week Bill Auction | 3.615000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 2.000000 | 1.93 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Imports | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 5.451000 | 6.926000 | 0.800000 | 3.58 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change | -0.809000 | -0.241000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change | -0.219000 | 0.366000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Imports Change | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change | 0.000000 | 0.157000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Production Change | -0.152000 | 0.309000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change | 0.520000 | 3.421000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -2.111000 | 3.032000 | -0.600000 | -0.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -0.585000 | -2.593000 | -1.900000 | -0.93 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW | -0.800000 | 1.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.300000 | 0.400000 | 0.300000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | -0.100000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.07 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 53.500000 | 55.800000 | 55.000000 | 56.37 | low |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 78.300000 | 70.500000 | 73.000000 | 73.65 | low |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.700000 | 52.400000 | 52.500000 | 53.20 | high |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.700000 | 48.800000 | 48.600000 | 49.30 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.300000 | 51.600000 | 52.400000 | 52.50 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.500000 | 0.000000 | 0.300000 | 0.38 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.700000 | 3.200000 | 2.900000 | 3.17 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.500000 | 0.200000 | 0.300000 | 0.40 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.400000 | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.33 | high |
| 00:00 | US | ADP Employment Change | 62.000000 | 66.000000 | 40.000000 | 40.50 | high |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Market Index | 278.300000 | 310.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Applications | -10.400000 | -10.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Refinance Index | 946.400000 | 1145.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.570000 | 6.430000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Purchase Index | 159.400000 | 163.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.160000 | 3.280000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Consumption Forecast | 104.382976 | 103.696894 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Production Forecast | 104.475189 | 101.816860 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.810000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.300000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.540000 | 2.570000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.300000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6528.520000 | 6343.720000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.250000 | 30.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 10.263000 | 2.300000 | -1.300000 | 2.44 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.300000 | 1.680000 | 1.310000 | 1.31 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 9.020000 | 13.280000 | 9.140000 | 9.16 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 2.100000 | 3.290000 | 2.100000 | 2.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Services Index | -13.300000 | -3.200000 | -1.000000 | -7.15 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 1.300000 | 4.100000 | 4.000000 | 2.65 | low |
| 00:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 2.974000 | 3.131000 | 3.000000 | 3.04 | low |
| 00:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.882000 | 7.240000 | 6.920000 | 6.76 | high |
| 00:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 91.800000 | 91.000000 | 88.000000 | 87.42 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago PMI | 52.800000 | 57.700000 | 55.000000 | 56.70 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | -0.200000 | 0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.17 | low |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index | 441.000000 | 440.700000 | 436.000000 | 437.57 | low |
| 00:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.200000 | 1.400000 | 1.300000 | 1.32 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | -0.100000 | -0.100000 | -0.200000 | -0.13 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Redbook YoY | 6.900000 | 6.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.280000 | 3.460000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.530000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.820000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.300000 | 4.350000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6343.720000 | 6368.850000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.990000 | 3.961000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 30.610000 | 31.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.640000 | 0.710000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.980000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 104.690000 | 101.260000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.880000 | 121.470000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 6-Month Bill Auction | 3.605000 | 3.630000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.700000 | 0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.460000 | 3.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.530000 | 0.560000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.820000 | 3.880000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.350000 | 4.440000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 202000.000000 | 211000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.885100 | 120.389000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6368.850000 | 6477.160000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152000 | 1.154200 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 160.160000 | 159.650000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 31.050000 | 27.440000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.710000 | 0.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.182800 | -0.368000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.433660 | -0.453890 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.980000 | 4.930000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 101.260000 | 96.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.470000 | 113.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Copper Speculative net positions | 37.500000 | 48.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | 233.600000 | 218.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Corn speculative net positions | 375.400000 | 312.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | -80.900000 | -113.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions | -0.700000 | -0.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Gold Speculative net positions | 168.300000 | 159.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Silver Speculative net positions | 24.700000 | 21.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions | 215.200000 | 221.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Wheat speculative net positions | -17.100000 | -25.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | 6.600000 | 24.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions | -172.600000 | -178.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 409.000000 | 414.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.200000 | 3.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.23 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 53.300000 | 56.600000 | 54.000000 | 54.68 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 51.700000 | 56.600000 | 54.000000 | 54.02 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.200000 | 3.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.27 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.800000 | 3.400000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 55.800000 | 56.600000 | 55.800000 | 57.00 | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.420000 | 3.210000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.560000 | 0.460000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 6454.000000 | 6464.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13657.000000 | 13657.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 240861.000000 | 241447.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 117825.000000 | 119936.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.880000 | 3.960000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.440000 | 4.420000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.389000 | 120.128200 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.510000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6477.160000 | 6591.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.154200 | 1.157000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.650000 | 159.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.440000 | 25.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.690000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.930000 | 4.890000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.180000 | 91.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 113.390000 | 109.140000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Balance Sheet | 6.660000 | 6.660000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 7-Year Note Auction | 4.255000 | 3.790000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | 5.750000 | 5.540000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.380000 | 6.220000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 4-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.615000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 8-Week Bill Auction | 3.630000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 11.000000 | 10.000000 | 2.000000 | 6.50 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 11.000000 | 5.000000 | 3.000000 | 7.00 | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -54.000000 | 35.000000 | -44.000000 | -42.17 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 210.500000 | 210.750000 | 212.000000 | 211.08 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 210.000000 | 205.000000 | 210.000000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1819.000000 | 1851.000000 | 1850.000000 | 1844.00 | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.210000 | 3.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.460000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.960000 | 3.840000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.420000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.128200 | 120.129500 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.510000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6591.900000 | 6556.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157000 | 1.157800 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.200000 | 158.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6657161.000000 | 6655939.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.330000 | 26.950000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.650000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.890000 | 4.940000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 91.510000 | 93.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 109.140000 | 108.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Note Auction | 3.980000 | 3.615000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 17-Week Bill Auction | 3.635000 | 3.610000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year FRN Auction | 0.115000 | 0.099000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change | -0.241000 | -0.081000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.421000 | 0.944000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.593000 | -5.436000 | -2.100000 | -1.13 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Imports Change | 0.846000 | -0.692000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change | 0.366000 | 0.063000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Production Change | 0.309000 | -0.462000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 6.926000 | 6.156000 | 0.500000 | 3.28 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change | 0.157000 | -0.075000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 3.032000 | -2.527000 | -1.300000 | -0.80 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 0.846000 | -0.692000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW | 1.500000 | 0.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Current Account | -190.700000 | -239.100000 | -211.000000 | -202.93 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Import Prices YoY | 1.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.38 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Export Prices MoM | 1.500000 | 0.600000 | 0.500000 | 1.00 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Export Prices YoY | 3.500000 | 2.600000 | 2.200000 | 2.85 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Import Prices MoM | 1.300000 | 0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.68 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Purchase Index | 163.600000 | 172.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.430000 | 6.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Refinance Index | 1145.000000 | 1341.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Applications | -10.500000 | -10.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Market Index | 310.700000 | 347.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.170000 | 3.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.490000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.840000 | 3.900000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.390000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.129500 | 119.937100 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.530000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.330000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6556.370000 | 6581.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157800 | 1.158700 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.900000 | 158.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.950000 | 26.150000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.650000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.940000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 93.180000 | 89.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 108.420000 | 103.790000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 2.300000 | 6.600000 | -1.300000 | 2.44 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Money Supply | 22.650000 | 22.440000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | M2 Money Supply MoM | 22.650000 | 22.440000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Note Auction | 3.936000 | 3.455000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost Index QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.48 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost - Wages QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.3 | 99.5 | 99.8 | 99.67 | Low |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 24.05 | 4.7 | 9 | 11.29 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 56.6 | 57 | 55 | 55.02 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 57.3 | 56.4 | 53 | 53.68 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 58.3 | 55.4 | 53 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 4 | 4 | 3.98 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.33 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | - | 50 | 40 | 35.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | - | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | - | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | - | 37 | 32 | 18.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | - | -8 | -10 | -11.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | - | 62.4 | 62.3 | 62.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | - | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | - | 13 | 8 | 19.50 | Low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.542 | 6.928 | 7 | 6.84 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 231 | 209 | 214 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 212.25 | 206.25 | 210 | 209.08 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 108.435 | 35.553 | 43 | 40.10 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | - | 16 | 15.5 | 15.67 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 50.3 | 51.7 | 52.3 | 52.55 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 53.1 | 56.5 | 55 | 55.85 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.5 | 54.13 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 66.6 | 65.1 | 65 | 65.25 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.47 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.78 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 14.9 | 16 | 15.5 | 15.67 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 22 | 37 | 35 | 35.50 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47 | 46.97 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47.9 | 47.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | - | 7.146 | 7 | 6.84 | High |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | - | 3.161 | 3.15 | 3.19 | Low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.13 | Medium |
| 16:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.13 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.13 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 57.1 | 47.4 | 47.9 | 49.27 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.1 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 45.50 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 59 | 58.5 | 59.9 | 60.55 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.6 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.90 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 52.00 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 54 | 42.7 | 45 | 46.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.63 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 1.70 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -56.8 | -29.2 | -37 | -35.07 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Exports | 292.1 | 303 | 303 | 302.98 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 5.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Imports | 348.9 | 332.1 | 340 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -2.63 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index | -3 | -6 | -2 | -2.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -11 | -6 | -5.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -6 | -7 | -3 | -4.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 84.5 | 94.2 | 90.6 | 90.02 | High |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.22 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.13 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index | 439.3 | 436.8 | 438 | 439.57 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.68 | Low |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 5.3 | -2.1 | 1.1 | 3.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.42 | -0.4 | -0.22 | Medium |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.43 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 53.60 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 54.68 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.47 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.02 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 52.5 | 52.3 | 52.30 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.8 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 52.5 | 52.8 | 52.77 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 51.8 | 52.1 | 52.20 | High |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | - | 1 | 4 | 8.00 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | - | -3 | 5 | 9.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | - | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | - | 0.2 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | - | 198 | 195 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | - | 1884 | 1880 | 1874.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | - | 205 | 203 | 202.08 | High |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | - | 7.5 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.23 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | - | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | - | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | - | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 54.68 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 53.60 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.47 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 39 | 40 | 38.50 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.02 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.35 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76 | 76 | 76.15 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -71 | -119 | -90 | -88.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 198 | 207 | 215 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.4 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.08 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.48 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | - | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.58 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.65 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.65 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1884 | 1903 | 1890 | 1884.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.7 | -3.7 | 1 | 4.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | - | 0 | -0.1 | 0.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.6 | -8.8 | -2 | 5.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205 | 211.5 | 215 | 214.08 | High |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.03 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.03 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.029 | 5.594 | -0.2 | 0.30 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.391 | -3.831 | -2.2 | 0.58 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 8.977 | 7.702 | 4 | 4.97 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | - | 47.9 | 47.4 | 47.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.35 | 4.14 | 4.21 | 4.28 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 5.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 1.75 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.02 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | - | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Current Account | -226.4 | -249.2 | -238.4 | -230.32 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.48 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 3.27 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.23 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 5.27 | -2.8 | -2 | 1.74 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -145 | -173 | -150 | -147.50 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -145 | -173 | -144.5 | -144.75 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 800 | 710 | 710.00 | High |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 0.8 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.65 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 324.05 | 324.12 | 323.8 | 323.93 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 326.03 | 325.031 | 325.7 | 325.87 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.411 | 1.415 | 1.412 | 2.81 | Low |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.5 | 99 | 99.5 | 99.38 | Low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 13.28 | 1.55 | 13.1 | 13.11 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.68 | 2.13 | 1.65 | 1.65 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 3.29 | 0.32 | 3.28 | 3.28 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 54 | 52.9 | 53.5 | 54.18 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 52.4 | 50.4 | 50.5 | 51.70 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.17 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 55 | 54.6 | 54.2 | 54.22 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.33 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.60 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.246 | 1.306 | 1.33 | 1.29 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -4.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -1.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 6.4 | -2.3 | 0.8 | 2.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 13 | 6 | -10 | 1.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | -8 | -2 | -5 | -6.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 37 | 50 | 64 | 50.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | 62.4 | 62.5 | 62.6 | 62.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 50 | 56 | 60 | 55.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.2 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.25 | Low |
| Thursday, January 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10 | 7.12 | Low |
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10.1 | 12.39 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.63 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -119 | -38 | -114 | -112.17 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3 | 3.48 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 208 | 200 | 210 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1914 | 1858 | 1900 | 1894.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 211.75 | 219 | 210.75 | 209.83 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | 1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -29.4 | -48.1 | -58.9 | -56.97 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 86.10 | Low |
| 10:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 86.10 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 7.702 | 5.845 | 2.9 | 3.87 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.831 | -1.934 | 1.1 | 3.88 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 5.594 | 4.977 | 2.2 | 2.70 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.146 | 7.449 | 7.6 | 7.44 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders ex Transportation | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.25 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.90 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.161 | 2.973 | 2.99 | 3.03 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.2 | 52.83 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | 53.45 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 49 | 49.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 64.9 | 65.15 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.3 | 53.35 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | 56 | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.50 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 41 | -29 | 47 | 47.50 | High |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4.94 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.7 | 54.2 | 53 | 52.98 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.5 | 54.1 | 52.9 | 52.87 | Low |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16 | 15.6 | 15.7 | 15.87 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 2.93 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | - | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | - | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | - | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | - | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | - | 52.6 | 52 | 53.05 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 44.9 | 44 | 44.1 | 44.80 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 47.7 | 47.4 | 47.2 | 48.57 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 58.5 | 58.5 | 59 | 59.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.3 | 49.00 | High |
