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US M2 Money Supply MoM climbed to 22.8 T in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.11 T from March's 22.69 T reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
M2 Money Supply MoM (United States) was reported at 22.80 T in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 22.69 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 22.31 T, ranging from 21.94 T to 22.80 T across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 22.63 T, up from the prior three at 22.33 T.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish AUD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
US M2 Money Supply MoM rose to 22.800000 trillion USD in May, up from April’s 22.690000 trillion USD, marking a continued expansion. The increase from April to May reflects steady growth in money supply, consistent with recent monthly trends. Market participants will watch upcoming Federal Reserve communications for signals on monetary policy adjustments. Updated 5/26/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 22.8 T. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 22.69 T. Before that (Feb 2026): 22.65 T.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GOOGL (Bearish GOOGL, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 13.2 | 11.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.25 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 37 | 37.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1790 | 1790.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 10.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 223.00 | Low | ||