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US M2 Money Supply MoM climbed to 23.34 T in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.12 T from July's 23.22 T reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.83 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.75 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.70 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.69 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AAPL | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
M2 Money Supply MoM (United States) was reported at 23.34 T in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 23.22 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 22.71 T, ranging from 22.21 T to 23.34 T across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 23.24 T, up from the prior three at 22.83 T. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.40 T) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.21 T).
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with NZD/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish NZD).
The next release is scheduled for October 27, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct 26) and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
US M2 Money Supply MoM rose to 23.340000 trillion USD in September, up from August’s 23.220000 trillion USD, marking a steady increase. The expansion continues as the money supply grows month-over-month, reflecting ongoing liquidity in the financial system. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further signals on monetary policy direction. Updated 9/22/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 23.34 T. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 23.22 T. Before that (Jun 2026): 23.15 T.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD, r=-0.83) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 57.6 | 58.4 | 57.6 | 57.60 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 56 | 55.9 | 55.5 | 55.75 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 57.9 | 58.8 | 58 | 57.95 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 48 | 48.1 | 46.3 | 47.15 | High | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 46.7 | 50.9 | 44.7 | 45.70 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 48.8 | 46.3 | 47.3 | 48.05 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | |
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9.8 | 7 | 8.15 | Medium | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.095 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, October 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits MoM | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits | 1.403 | 1.39 | 1.39 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.1 | 0 | -0.85 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 1.8 | 0.6 | -0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.75 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 443.5 | 444.4 | 444.90 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.30 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.1 | 0.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | -3 | -5.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -2 | -2.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -7 | -4.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.684 | 0.66 | 0.66 | High | ||
| 14:00 | CB Consumer Confidence | 81.9 | 80.5 | 79.70 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales MoM | 6.4 | -3.5 | -3.50 | High | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | -0.9 | -2 | -1.25 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Index | -1.8 | -3 | -0.70 | Low | ||
| 17:00 | Money Supply | 23.34 | 23.4 | 23.57 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, October 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.35 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -132.1 | -128.7 | -129.30 | High | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.061 | -0.3 | -3.23 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4 | 4 | 4.00 | High | ||