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US M2 Money Supply MoM climbed to 22.8 T in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.11 T from March's 22.69 T reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | STOCKS | Bearish GOOGL | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
M2 Money Supply MoM (United States) was reported at 23.05 T in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 22.80 T. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 22.31 T, ranging from 21.94 T to 22.80 T across 11 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 22.63 T, up from the prior three at 22.33 T.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with GOOGL, negatively correlated (Bearish GOOGL).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 24) and Current Account (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
US M2 Money Supply MoM rose to 23.050 trillion USD in June, up from May’s 22.800 trillion USD, marking a clear expansion in money supply. This increase from May to June reflects continued liquidity growth in the US economy. Market participants will watch upcoming Federal Reserve communications closely for signals on monetary policy adjustments. Updated 6/23/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 23.05 T. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 22.8 T. Before that (Mar 2026): 22.69 T.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD, r=-0.72) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.7 | 55.1 | 54.8 | 55.25 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 50.7 | 51 | 51.15 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.5 | 50.8 | 51.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 4 | 13 | 9 | 6.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -1 | 14 | 11 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 3 | 16 | 9 | 6.00 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Current Account | -190.7 | -217.5 | -207.35 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.622 | 0.64 | 0.64 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -8.262 | -5.1 | -1.89 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 7.9 | -4.3 | -4.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 226 | 225 | 225.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1810 | 1800 | 1784.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 8.1 | -3.9 | -3.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 223.25 | 226 | 225.25 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 6 | 10.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -83.01 | -85.4 | -85.40 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83 | -85.2 | -85.20 | Medium | ||