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US PPI Final Demand Services climbed to 161.07 in April 2026, released May 2026, up 4.52 from March's 156.56 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
PPI Final Demand Services (United States) was reported at 161.07 Index Nov 2009=100 in April 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 156.56 Index Nov 2009=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 150.93 Index Nov 2009=100, ranging from 147.05 Index Nov 2009=100 to 161.07 Index Nov 2009=100 across 9 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 156.95 Index Nov 2009=100, up from the prior three at 148.15 Index Nov 2009=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.70 Index Nov 2009=100) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.56 Index Nov 2009=100). In May readings over the past 3 years, PPI Final Demand Services has averaged 150.42 Index Nov 2009=100.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Aug 2) and ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
US PPI Final Demand Services rose to 161.073 in May, up from April’s 156.556, marking a continued acceleration in producer prices. This increase from April to May signals persistent inflationary pressures in the service sector. Market participants will watch upcoming data closely amid ongoing Federal Reserve policy adjustments. Updated 7/4/26
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 161.1 Index Nov 2009=100. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 156.6 Index Nov 2009=100. Before that (Mar 2026): 153.2 Index Nov 2009=100.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bearish USD, r=-0.71) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 53.3 | 54 | 54.00 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 49.7 | 49.8 | 49.80 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Construction Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 73 | 70 | 70.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 56 | 55.4 | 55.40 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Balance of Trade | -77.6 | -73 | -72.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Exports | 317.7 | 312 | 312.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Imports | 395.3 | 385 | 385.35 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.5 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.065 | 3.05 | 3.16 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Economic Optimism Index | 45.5 | 47.5 | 47.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.594 | 7.25 | 7.26 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Factory Orders ex Transportation | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.95 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | ADP Employment Change | 98 | 75 | 75.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Business Activity | 55.4 | 56 | 57.20 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services PMI | 54 | 54.2 | 54.15 | High | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Employment | 51.2 | 52 | 53.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services New Orders | 55.1 | 55.3 | 52.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Services Prices | 67.7 | 66.2 | 66.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54 | 54.2 | 54.15 | High | ||
| Thursday, August 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | Challenger Job Cuts | 45.849 | 59 | 59.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 200 | 200.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 198 | 198.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1798 | 1798.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | ||