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US PPI Final Demand Goods fell to 156.93 in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.16 from May's 157.08 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.70 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
PPI Final Demand Goods (United States) was reported at 156.93 Index Nov 2009=100 in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 157.08 Index Nov 2009=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 153.89 Index Nov 2009=100, ranging from 150.35 Index Nov 2009=100 to 157.13 Index Nov 2009=100 across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 157.05 Index Nov 2009=100, up from the prior three at 154.76 Index Nov 2009=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.76 Index Nov 2009=100) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.34 Index Nov 2009=100). In July readings over the past 3 years, PPI Final Demand Goods has averaged 150.70 Index Nov 2009=100.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Net Long-Term TIC Flows (Sep 16) and Housing Starts MoM (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
US PPI Final Demand Goods rose to 158.012 in May, up from April’s 156.395, marking a continued increase in producer prices. This gain reflects ongoing inflationary pressures in goods production following April’s advance. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid steady Federal Reserve policy. Updated 7/4/26
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 156.9 Index Nov 2009=100. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 157.1 Index Nov 2009=100. Before that (May 2026): 157.1 Index Nov 2009=100.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.70) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.6 | 20.6 | 14.75 | 11.18 | High | |
| 20:30 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium | |
| 21:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 7.14 | -0.3 | -1.8 | 2.67 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 1.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.80 | High | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 7 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 1.2 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6 | 5.03 | 4.7 | 5.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 0.6 | -1.4 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.6 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 8.55 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.42 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 32 | 35 | 34 | 33.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.72 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -0.64 | -0.391 | -1.6 | -2.28 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.794 | 1.269 | -1 | -0.53 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.585 | 2.087 | 0.1 | 0.83 | Low | |
| 16:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.63 | Medium | |