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Data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS PPI Final Demand Goods climbed to 156.88 in March 2026
U.S. Bureau of Labor StatisticsMonthlyReleased April 2026
US PPI Final Demand Goods climbed to 156.88 in March 2026, released April 2026, up 2.22 from February's 154.66 reading.
Latest Release
156.878000
Actual
—
Consensus
154.656000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
PPI Final Demand Goods (United States) was reported at 156.88 Index Nov 2009=100 in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 154.66 Index Nov 2009=100. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 151.77 Index Nov 2009=100, ranging from 149.47 Index Nov 2009=100 to 156.88 Index Nov 2009=100 across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 154.93 Index Nov 2009=100, up from the prior three at 151.01 Index Nov 2009=100. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.31 Index Nov 2009=100) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.25 Index Nov 2009=100). In April readings over the past 3 years, PPI Final Demand Goods has averaged 149.82 Index Nov 2009=100.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with NZD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish NZD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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PPI Final Demand Goods - US
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About PPI Final Demand Goods — United States
DEFINITION
US PPI Final Demand Goods rose to 150.574 in December, up 0.2% from November’s 150.346, signaling persistent producer price pressures. The index has climbed 1.5% since June’s 148.838, maintaining steady upward momentum and remaining above the 12-month average of 149.44. Futures markets priced in a higher inflation premium, keeping rate cut expectations muted amid ongoing cost pressures. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 156.9 Index Nov 2009=100. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 154.7 Index Nov 2009=100. Before that (Feb 2026): 153.3 Index Nov 2009=100.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.53) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.