Loading page content
Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 2-Year Treasury Yield climbed to 4.08 Percent in May 2026
FREDDailyReleased May 2026
US 2-Year Treasury Yield climbed to 4.08 Percent in May 2026, up 0.04 Percent from April's 4.04 Percent reading.
Latest Release
4.080000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.040000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
2-Year Treasury Yield (United States) was reported at 4.08 Percent in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.04 Percent. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.68 Percent, ranging from 3.38 Percent to 4.13 Percent across 249 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.08 Percent, up from the prior three at 4.05 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18 Percent) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.33 Percent). In May readings over the past 3 years, 2-Year Treasury Yield has averaged 4.30 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
2-Year Treasury Yield - US
Loading chart data...
About 2-Year Treasury Yield — United States
DEFINITION
US 2-Year Treasury Yield rose to 4.080000% on May 21, up from 4.040000% on May 20, marking a continuation of recent upward momentum. The yield climbed steadily throughout May, reflecting persistent market demand for short-term debt amid evolving monetary policy expectations. Investors remain attentive to upcoming Federal Reserve signals as the yield approaches levels last seen earlier this month. Updated 5/23/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 4.08 Percent. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.04 Percent. Before that (May 2026): 4.13 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.