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US Fed Pace of Treasury Purchase Program held to 45 in October 2013. The reading matched the 45 consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The October 2013 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 45. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.73 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.27 | Medium | |
| 20:55 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -9.1 | -2.188 | -3.4 | -6.25 | Medium | |
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.363 | 1.39 | 1.64 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | 10.8 | -3.5 | 1.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.502 | 1.41 | 1.47 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | -11.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1790 | 1790.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.75 | 203 | 203.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 26.7 | 18 | 22.65 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 211 | 210 | 210.00 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51 | 51.1 | 50.75 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 53.8 | 53.20 | Medium | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 10 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 10 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | ||