Loading page content
Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 10Y-3M Treasury Spread climbed to 0.93 Percent in May 2026
FREDDailyReleased May 2026
US 10Y-3M Treasury Spread climbed to 0.93 Percent in May 2026, up 0.03 Percent from April's 0.9 Percent reading.
Latest Release
0.930000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 0.9. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
SHARE
10Y-3M Treasury Spread - US
Loading chart data...
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 34 | 35 | 34.25 | Medium |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -2.35 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -1.90 | Medium | |
| Thursday, May 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.363 | 1.4 | 1.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | 10.8 | -3.5 | 1.80 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.502 | 1.41 | 1.47 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits MoM | -11.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1790 | 1790.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.75 | 203 | 203.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 26.7 | 18.6 | 23.25 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 211 | 210 | 210.00 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 51 | 51 | 51.00 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.50 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.5 | 54 | 54.00 | Medium | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 10 | 9 | 9.00 | Low | |