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High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) climbed to 2.81 in May 2026, up 0.02 from April's 2.79 reading.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 2.79. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500) and negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | 0.2 | -2.9 | 2.1 | 0.38 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.02 | 4.01 | 4.05 | 3.97 | High | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.9 | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.92 | Low | |
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -164.1 | 157.2 | 154.70 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -164 | 157.2 | 157.00 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -2.314 | -1.6 | -1.60 | Medium | ||