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United States Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr
Latest Release
3.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.400000
Previous
Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr (United States) was reported at 3.1 in March 2026. This represents a decline from the previous value of 3.4. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Interest Rate Projection - 1st Yr - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, May 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | Factory Orders ex Transportation | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16.3 | 16 | 15.70 | Low | |
| Tuesday, May 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | US | Building Permits | 1.386 | 1.35 | 1.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Exports | 314.8 | 319.1 | 319.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Imports | 372.1 | 380.5 | 380.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -57.3 | -59 | -59.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | New Home Sales | -17.6 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | 45.2 | 45 | 45.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | 60.6 | 60 | 60.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | 53.9 | 53.5 | 53.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | 54 | 53.8 | 53.80 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.882 | 6.87 | 6.87 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | 70.7 | 71 | 71.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 2.974 | 2.95 | 2.95 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54 | 53.8 | 53.95 | High | |
| 14:10 | US | Economic Optimism Index | 42.8 | 42 | 42.00 | Low | |
| Wednesday, May 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 62 | 79 | 72.50 | Medium | |
| Thursday, May 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 60.62 | 56 | 56.00 | Low | |