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Data from Financial Modeling Prep. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesInterest Rate Projection - Current fell to 3.4 in February 2026
Interest Rate Projection - Current fell to 3.4 in February 2026, down 0.2 from January's 3.6 reading.
Latest Release
3.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.600000
Previous
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 3.6. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Interest Rate Projection - Current - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -3.6 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.98 | 4.05 | 4.05 | High | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 330.293 | 331.9 | 331.90 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | High | |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -164.1 | 37.5 | 35.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -164 | 37.5 | 37.30 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 205 | 205.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1766 | 1775 | 1775.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 5.6 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 204 | 204.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 4 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low | |