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Data from Financial Modeling Prep. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesInterest Rate Decision held to 6.5 in January 2025
Interest Rate Decision held to 6.5 in January 2025. The reading matched the 6.5 consensus.
Latest Release
6.500000
Actual
6.500000
Consensus
6.500000
Previous
The February 2025 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 6.5. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Interest Rate Decision - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -3.6 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 3.98 | 4.05 | 4.05 | High | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 330.293 | 331.9 | 331.90 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | High | |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -164.1 | 37.5 | 35.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -164 | 37.5 | 37.30 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.2 | 4.20 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | |
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 205 | 205.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1766 | 1775 | 1775.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 5.6 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 204 | 204.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 4 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low | |