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United States Fed Interest Rate Decision
Latest Release
3.750000
Actual
3.750000
Consensus
3.750000
Previous
Fed Interest Rate Decision (United States) was reported at 3.75% in March 2026. This matched the market consensus of 3.75% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.13%, ranging from 3.75% to 4.50% across 8 releases. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
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Fed Interest Rate Decision - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.810000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.310000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6582.690000 | 6575.320000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.610000 | 0.630000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.540000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6575.320000 | 6528.520000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6675344.000000 | 6657161.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.540000 | 25.250000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.630000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.160000 | 3.280000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Consumption Forecast | 104.382976 | 103.696894 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Production Forecast | 104.475189 | 101.816860 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.810000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.300000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.540000 | 2.570000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.300000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6528.520000 | 6343.720000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.250000 | 30.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.280000 | 3.460000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.530000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.820000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.300000 | 4.350000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6343.720000 | 6368.850000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.990000 | 3.961000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 30.610000 | 31.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.640000 | 0.710000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.980000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 104.690000 | 101.260000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.880000 | 121.470000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.460000 | 3.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.530000 | 0.560000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.820000 | 3.880000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.350000 | 4.440000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 202000.000000 | 211000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6368.850000 | 6477.160000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152000 | 1.154200 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 160.160000 | 159.650000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 31.050000 | 27.440000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.710000 | 0.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.182800 | -0.368000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.433660 | -0.453890 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.980000 | 4.930000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 101.260000 | 96.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.470000 | 113.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.420000 | 3.210000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.560000 | 0.460000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 6454.000000 | 6464.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13657.000000 | 13657.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 240861.000000 | 241447.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 117825.000000 | 119936.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.880000 | 3.960000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.440000 | 4.420000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.510000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6477.160000 | 6591.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.154200 | 1.157000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.650000 | 159.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.440000 | 25.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.690000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.930000 | 4.890000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.180000 | 91.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 113.390000 | 109.140000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.210000 | 3.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.460000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.960000 | 3.840000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.420000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.510000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6591.900000 | 6556.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157000 | 1.157800 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.200000 | 158.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6657161.000000 | 6655939.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.330000 | 26.950000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.650000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.890000 | 4.940000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 91.510000 | 93.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 109.140000 | 108.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.170000 | 3.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.490000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.840000 | 3.900000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.390000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.530000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.330000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6556.370000 | 6581.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157800 | 1.158700 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.900000 | 158.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.950000 | 26.150000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.650000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.940000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 93.180000 | 89.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 108.420000 | 103.790000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.190000 | 3.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.490000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.900000 | 3.830000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.390000 | 4.340000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.530000 | 2.630000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.330000 | 2.380000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6581.000000 | 6506.480000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.961000 | 3.720000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.158700 | 1.154300 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.700000 | 159.260000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.150000 | 26.780000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.650000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.960000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 89.330000 | 98.710000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 103.790000 | 118.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.190000 | 3.240000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.830000 | 3.880000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.340000 | 4.390000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1841000.000000 | 1816000.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 211000.000000 | 205000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.630000 | 2.610000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.380000 | 2.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6506.480000 | 6606.490000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.154300 | 1.151500 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.260000 | 158.190000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.780000 | 24.060000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.650000 | 0.520000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.368000 | -0.300000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.453890 | -0.473570 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.960000 | 4.830000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 98.710000 | 96.110000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 118.420000 | 111.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.240000 | 3.270000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.460000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 6464.000000 | 7194.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13657.000000 | 13668.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 241447.000000 | 244040.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 119936.000000 | 116904.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.880000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.390000 | 4.250000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.610000 | 2.660000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.370000 | 2.400000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6606.490000 | 6624.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.151500 | 1.151300 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.190000 | 159.480000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.060000 | 25.090000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.530000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.830000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.110000 | 96.120000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 111.050000 | 118.090000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.270000 | 3.200000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.460000 | 0.500000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.760000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.250000 | 4.260000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, March 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.660000 | 2.620000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.400000 | 2.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6624.700000 | 6716.090000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.151300 | 1.152500 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.480000 | 159.030000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6655939.000000 | 6646344.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.090000 | 22.370000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.530000 | 0.480000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.850000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.120000 | 96.010000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 118.090000 | 108.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.200000 | 3.220000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.500000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.760000 | 3.680000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.260000 | 4.200000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.620000 | 2.580000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.370000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6716.090000 | 6699.380000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152500 | 1.148700 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.030000 | 159.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 22.370000 | 23.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.480000 | 0.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.850000 | 4.860000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.010000 | 93.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 108.390000 | 101.040000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.220000 | 3.270000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.550000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.680000 | 3.680000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.200000 | 4.230000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.580000 | 2.610000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.360000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6699.380000 | 6632.190000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.720000 | 3.502000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.148700 | 1.144400 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.300000 | 159.540000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 23.510000 | 27.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.560000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.860000 | 4.900000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 93.390000 | 98.480000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 101.040000 | 103.230000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.270000 | 3.280000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.550000 | 0.550000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.680000 | 3.730000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.230000 | 4.280000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1816000.000000 | 1851000.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 205000.000000 | 213000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.610000 | 2.630000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.360000 | 2.380000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6632.190000 | 6672.620000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.144400 | 1.152200 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.540000 | 159.210000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.190000 | 27.290000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.560000 | 0.550000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.300000 | -0.429500 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.473570 | -0.494430 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.900000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 98.480000 | 95.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 103.230000 | 102.380000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.280000 | 3.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.550000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 7194.000000 | 6422.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13668.000000 | 13678.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 244040.000000 | 249476.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 116904.000000 | 119431.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.730000 | 3.760000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.280000 | 4.270000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.630000 | 2.580000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.380000 | 2.360000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6672.620000 | 6775.800000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152200 | 1.156600 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.210000 | 158.830000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.290000 | 24.230000 | - | - | high |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost Index QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.08 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost - Wages QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.3 | 99.5 | 99.8 | 99.67 | Low |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 24.05 | 4.7 | 9 | 11.29 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 56.6 | 57 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 57.3 | 56.4 | 53 | 54.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 58.3 | 55.4 | 53 | 54.80 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 4 | 4 | 3.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.40 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | - | 50 | 40 | 35.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | - | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | - | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | - | 37 | 32 | 18.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | - | -8 | -10 | -11.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | - | 62.4 | 62.3 | 62.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | - | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | - | 13 | 8 | 19.50 | Low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.542 | 6.928 | 7 | 6.77 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 231 | 209 | 214 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 212.25 | 206.25 | 210 | 208.88 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 108.435 | 35.553 | 43 | 36.09 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | - | 16 | 15.5 | 15.43 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 50.3 | 51.7 | 52.3 | 52.55 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 53.1 | 56.5 | 55 | 55.85 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.5 | 54.13 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 66.6 | 65.1 | 65 | 65.25 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.45 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.77 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 14.9 | 16 | 15.5 | 15.43 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 22 | 37 | 35 | 30.25 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47 | 46.97 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47.9 | 47.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | - | 7.146 | 7 | 6.77 | High |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | - | 3.161 | 3.15 | 3.24 | Low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 16:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 57.1 | 47.4 | 47.9 | 50.33 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.1 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 45.82 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 59 | 58.5 | 59.9 | 59.55 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.6 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 49.20 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 52.15 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 54 | 42.7 | 45 | 49.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.63 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 1.70 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -56.8 | -29.2 | -37 | -34.58 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Exports | 292.1 | 303 | 303 | 297.55 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 5.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Imports | 348.9 | 332.1 | 340 | 344.45 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -2.63 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index | -3 | -6 | -2 | -2.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -11 | -6 | -5.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -6 | -7 | -3 | -4.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 84.5 | 94.2 | 90.6 | 87.55 | High |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.30 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index | 439.3 | 436.8 | 438 | 438.65 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.45 | Low |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 5.3 | -2.1 | 1.1 | 3.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.42 | -0.4 | -0.22 | Medium |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.45 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 55.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 52.5 | 52.3 | 52.30 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.8 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 52.5 | 52.8 | 52.75 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 51.8 | 52.1 | 52.35 | High |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | - | 1 | 4 | 4.00 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | - | -3 | 5 | 5.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | - | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | - | 0.2 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | - | 198 | 195 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | - | 1884 | 1880 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | - | 205 | 203 | 201.88 | High |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | - | 7.5 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.10 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | - | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | - | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | - | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 55.20 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 39 | 40 | 38.50 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.60 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.35 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76 | 76 | 76.15 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -71 | -119 | -90 | -86.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 198 | 207 | 215 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.4 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.02 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | - | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1884 | 1903 | 1890 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.7 | -3.7 | 1 | 4.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | - | 0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.6 | -8.8 | -2 | 5.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205 | 211.5 | 215 | 213.88 | High |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.029 | 5.594 | -0.2 | 0.69 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.391 | -3.831 | -2.2 | -2.04 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 8.977 | 7.702 | 4 | 6.44 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | - | 47.9 | 47.4 | 47.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.35 | 4.14 | 4.21 | 4.28 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 5.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 1.75 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.10 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.02 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | - | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Current Account | -226.4 | -249.2 | -238.4 | -232.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 3.15 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.25 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 5.27 | -2.8 | -2 | -1.18 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -145 | -173 | -150 | -147.50 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -145 | -173 | -144.5 | -144.75 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 800 | 710 | 710.00 | High |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 0.8 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.65 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 324.05 | 324.12 | 323.8 | 323.93 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 326.03 | 325.031 | 325.7 | 325.87 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.411 | 1.415 | 1.412 | 2.81 | Low |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.5 | 99 | 99.5 | 99.38 | Low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 13.28 | 1.55 | 13.1 | 13.19 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.68 | 2.13 | 1.65 | 1.67 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 3.29 | 0.32 | 3.28 | 3.29 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 54 | 52.9 | 53.5 | 54.70 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 52.4 | 50.4 | 50.5 | 52.30 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 55 | 54.6 | 54.2 | 54.80 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.35 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.60 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.246 | 1.306 | 1.33 | 1.29 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -4.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -1.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 6.4 | -2.3 | 0.8 | 2.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 13 | 6 | -10 | 1.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | -8 | -2 | -5 | -6.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 37 | 50 | 64 | 50.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | 62.4 | 62.5 | 62.6 | 62.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 50 | 56 | 60 | 55.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.2 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.25 | Low |
| Thursday, January 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10 | 7.12 | Low |
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10.1 | 12.39 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.50 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -119 | -38 | -114 | -110.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3 | 3.48 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 208 | 200 | 210 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1914 | 1858 | 1900 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 211.75 | 219 | 210.75 | 209.63 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | 1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -29.4 | -48.1 | -58.9 | -56.47 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 82.09 | Low |
| 10:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 82.09 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 7.702 | 5.845 | 2.9 | 5.34 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.831 | -1.934 | 1.1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 5.594 | 4.977 | 2.2 | 3.09 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.146 | 7.449 | 7.6 | 7.37 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders ex Transportation | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.25 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.90 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.161 | 2.973 | 2.99 | 3.08 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.2 | 52.83 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | 53.45 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 49 | 49.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 64.9 | 65.15 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.3 | 53.35 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | 56 | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.50 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 41 | -29 | 47 | 42.25 | High |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.02 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.7 | 54.2 | 53 | 52.98 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.5 | 54.1 | 52.9 | 52.85 | Low |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16 | 15.6 | 15.7 | 15.63 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | - | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | - | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | - | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | - | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | - | 52.6 | 52 | 53.05 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 44.9 | 44 | 44.1 | 45.13 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 47.7 | 47.4 | 47.2 | 49.63 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 58.5 | 58.5 | 59 | 58.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.3 | 49.30 | High |
