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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 2-Year Treasury Yield fell to 4.07 Percent in June 2026
FREDDailyReleased June 2026
US 2-Year Treasury Yield fell to 4.07 Percent in June 2026, down 0.02 Percent from May's 4.09 Percent reading.
Latest Release
4.070000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.090000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
2-Year Treasury Yield (United States) was reported at 4.07 Percent in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.09 Percent. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.69 Percent, ranging from 3.38 Percent to 4.17 Percent across 249 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.07 Percent, down from the prior three at 4.14 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.19 Percent) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.28 Percent). In June readings over the past 3 years, 2-Year Treasury Yield has averaged 4.33 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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2-Year Treasury Yield - US
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About 2-Year Treasury Yield — United States
DEFINITION
The US 2-Year Treasury Yield closed at 4.070000% on June 15, 2026, slightly below the previous 4.090000% recorded in early June. This marginal decline from June 11's 4.05% level indicates a modest pullback after recent fluctuations above 4.10%. Market participants remain attentive to upcoming Federal Reserve signals amid this subtle yield adjustment. Updated 6/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 4.07 Percent. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 4.09 Percent. Before that (Jun 2026): 4.05 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.