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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 30-Year Treasury Yield held to 4.97 Percent in June 2026
FREDDailyReleased June 2026
US 30-Year Treasury Yield held to 4.97 Percent in June 2026.
Latest Release
4.970000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.970000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
30-Year Treasury Yield (United States) was reported at 4.97 Percent in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.83 Percent, ranging from 4.54 Percent to 5.18 Percent across 249 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.96 Percent, down from the prior three at 5.02 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.12 Percent) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.28 Percent). In June readings over the past 3 years, 30-Year Treasury Yield has averaged 4.61 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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30-Year Treasury Yield - US
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About 30-Year Treasury Yield — United States
DEFINITION
The US 30-Year Treasury Yield held steady at 4.970000% in June, matching May's exact level of 4.970000%. June's yield fluctuated slightly between 4.95% and 5.03% but closed unchanged from May's reading, indicating stable long-term borrowing costs. Market participants remain focused on upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve signals for future yield direction. Updated 6/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 4.97 Percent. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 4.97 Percent. Before that (Jun 2026): 4.95 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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