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United States Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions
Latest Release
-0.433660
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.453890
Previous
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions (United States) was reported at -0.43 (index) in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.45 (index). Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.50 (index), ranging from -0.56 (index) to -0.39 (index) across 52 releases. The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
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Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, April 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.400000 | 51.900000 | 51.400000 | 51.38 | low |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.100000 | 51.700000 | 51.100000 | 51.07 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16.300000 | 15.800000 | 15.000000 | 15.17 | low |
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.170000 | 3.160000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.810000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.310000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6582.690000 | 6575.320000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.610000 | 0.630000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Balance Sheet | 6.680000 | 6.660000 | 6.600000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | US | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 411.000000 | 409.000000 | 420.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.460000 | 6.380000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | 5.770000 | 5.750000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | 1.900000 | 1.83 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 4-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.620000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 8-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.630000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 36.000000 | -54.000000 | 34.000000 | 35.83 | low |
| 00:00 | US | All Truck Sales | 13.650000 | 13.080000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | All Car Sales | 2.700000 | 2.680000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -83.500000 | -80.900000 | -84.000000 | -83.75 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.750000 | 210.750000 | 214.000000 | 213.08 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Exports | 314.800000 | 302.200000 | 304.000000 | 303.98 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Imports | 372.100000 | 356.900000 | 364.000000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1841.000000 | 1816.000000 | 1840.000000 | 1834.00 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 202.000000 | 211.000000 | 212.000000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | US | Balance of Trade | -57.300000 | -54.700000 | -59.200000 | -57.27 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83.500000 | -80.900000 | -84.000000 | -83.75 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 60.620000 | 48.307000 | 90.000000 | 87.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.520000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.540000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6575.320000 | 6528.520000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6675344.000000 | 6657161.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 24.540000 | 25.250000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.630000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.880000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 17-Week Bill Auction | 3.615000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 1.900000 | 2.000000 | 2.000000 | 1.93 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Imports | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 5.451000 | 6.926000 | 0.800000 | 3.58 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change | -0.809000 | -0.241000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change | -0.219000 | 0.366000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Imports Change | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change | 0.000000 | 0.157000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Production Change | -0.152000 | 0.309000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change | 0.520000 | 3.421000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -2.111000 | 3.032000 | -0.600000 | -0.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -0.585000 | -2.593000 | -1.900000 | -0.93 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW | -0.800000 | 1.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | -0.209000 | 0.846000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.300000 | 0.400000 | 0.300000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | -0.100000 | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.07 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 53.500000 | 55.800000 | 55.000000 | 56.37 | low |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 78.300000 | 70.500000 | 73.000000 | 73.65 | low |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.700000 | 52.400000 | 52.500000 | 53.20 | high |
| 00:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.700000 | 48.800000 | 48.600000 | 49.30 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.300000 | 51.600000 | 52.400000 | 52.50 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.500000 | 0.000000 | 0.300000 | 0.38 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.700000 | 3.200000 | 2.900000 | 3.17 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.500000 | 0.200000 | 0.300000 | 0.40 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.400000 | 0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.33 | high |
| 00:00 | US | ADP Employment Change | 62.000000 | 66.000000 | 40.000000 | 40.50 | high |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Market Index | 278.300000 | 310.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Applications | -10.400000 | -10.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Refinance Index | 946.400000 | 1145.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.570000 | 6.430000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Purchase Index | 159.400000 | 163.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.160000 | 3.280000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.520000 | 0.510000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Consumption Forecast | 104.382976 | 103.696894 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | World Crude Oil Production Forecast | 104.475189 | 101.816860 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.810000 | 3.790000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.300000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.540000 | 2.570000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.300000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6528.520000 | 6343.720000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.250000 | 30.610000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.880000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 10.263000 | 2.300000 | -1.300000 | 2.44 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.300000 | 1.680000 | 1.310000 | 1.31 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 9.020000 | 13.280000 | 9.140000 | 9.16 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 2.100000 | 3.290000 | 2.100000 | 2.10 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Services Index | -13.300000 | -3.200000 | -1.000000 | -7.15 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 1.300000 | 4.100000 | 4.000000 | 2.65 | low |
| 00:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 2.974000 | 3.131000 | 3.000000 | 3.04 | low |
| 00:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.882000 | 7.240000 | 6.920000 | 6.76 | high |
| 00:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 91.800000 | 91.000000 | 88.000000 | 87.42 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago PMI | 52.800000 | 57.700000 | 55.000000 | 56.70 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.600000 | 1.900000 | -0.200000 | 0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.17 | low |
| 00:00 | US | House Price Index | 441.000000 | 440.700000 | 436.000000 | 437.57 | low |
| 00:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.200000 | 1.400000 | 1.300000 | 1.32 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | -0.100000 | -0.100000 | -0.200000 | -0.13 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Redbook YoY | 6.900000 | 6.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.280000 | 3.460000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.510000 | 0.530000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.790000 | 3.820000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.300000 | 4.350000 | - | - | critical |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.570000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6343.720000 | 6368.850000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Regular Gas Price | 3.990000 | 3.961000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 30.610000 | 31.050000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.640000 | 0.710000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.910000 | 4.980000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 104.690000 | 101.260000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.880000 | 121.470000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 6-Month Bill Auction | 3.605000 | 3.630000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.200000 | 0.200000 | 0.700000 | 0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.460000 | 3.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.530000 | 0.560000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.820000 | 3.880000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.350000 | 4.440000 | - | - | critical |
| Sunday, March 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| Saturday, March 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 202000.000000 | 211000.000000 | - | - | critical |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.885100 | 120.389000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.560000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.340000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6368.850000 | 6477.160000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.152000 | 1.154200 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 160.160000 | 159.650000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 31.050000 | 27.440000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.710000 | 0.690000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index | -0.182800 | -0.368000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions | -0.433660 | -0.453890 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.980000 | 4.930000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 101.260000 | 96.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 121.470000 | 113.390000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Copper Speculative net positions | 37.500000 | 48.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Crude Oil speculative net positions | 233.600000 | 218.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Corn speculative net positions | 375.400000 | 312.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions | -80.900000 | -113.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Aluminium Speculative net positions | -0.700000 | -0.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Gold Speculative net positions | 168.300000 | 159.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Silver Speculative net positions | 24.700000 | 21.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Soybeans speculative net positions | 215.200000 | 221.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Wheat speculative net positions | -17.100000 | -25.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions | 6.600000 | 24.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CFTC Natural Gas speculative net positions | -172.600000 | -178.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count | 409.000000 | 414.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.200000 | 3.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.23 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 53.300000 | 56.600000 | 54.000000 | 54.68 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 51.700000 | 56.600000 | 54.000000 | 54.02 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.200000 | 3.300000 | 3.200000 | 3.27 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.800000 | 3.400000 | 3.400000 | 3.38 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 55.800000 | 56.600000 | 55.800000 | 57.00 | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.420000 | 3.210000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.560000 | 0.460000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 6454.000000 | 6464.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Refinery Inputs | 13657.000000 | 13657.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Total Motor Gasoline Stocks | 240861.000000 | 241447.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Distillate Fuel Oil Stocks | 117825.000000 | 119936.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.880000 | 3.960000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.440000 | 4.420000 | - | - | critical |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.389000 | 120.128200 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.560000 | 2.510000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.340000 | 2.310000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6477.160000 | 6591.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.154200 | 1.157000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.650000 | 159.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 27.440000 | 25.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.690000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.930000 | 4.890000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 96.180000 | 91.510000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 113.390000 | 109.140000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Balance Sheet | 6.660000 | 6.660000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 7-Year Note Auction | 4.255000 | 3.790000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 15-Year Mortgage Rate | 5.750000 | 5.540000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.380000 | 6.220000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 4-Week Bill Auction | 3.620000 | 3.615000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 8-Week Bill Auction | 3.630000 | 3.635000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 11.000000 | 10.000000 | 2.000000 | 6.50 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 11.000000 | 5.000000 | 3.000000 | 7.00 | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -54.000000 | 35.000000 | -44.000000 | -42.17 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 210.500000 | 210.750000 | 212.000000 | 211.08 | high |
| 00:00 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 210.000000 | 205.000000 | 210.000000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1819.000000 | 1851.000000 | 1850.000000 | 1844.00 | high |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.210000 | 3.170000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.460000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.960000 | 3.840000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.420000 | 4.330000 | - | - | critical |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.128200 | 120.129500 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.510000 | 2.550000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.310000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6591.900000 | 6556.370000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157000 | 1.157800 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 159.200000 | 158.900000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Total Assets (Balance Sheet) | 6657161.000000 | 6655939.000000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 25.330000 | 26.950000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.600000 | 0.650000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.890000 | 4.940000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 91.510000 | 93.180000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 109.140000 | 108.420000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Note Auction | 3.980000 | 3.615000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 17-Week Bill Auction | 3.635000 | 3.610000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year FRN Auction | 0.115000 | 0.099000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change | -0.241000 | -0.081000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.421000 | 0.944000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.593000 | -5.436000 | -2.100000 | -1.13 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Imports Change | 0.846000 | -0.692000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change | 0.366000 | 0.063000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Gasoline Production Change | 0.309000 | -0.462000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 6.926000 | 6.156000 | 0.500000 | 3.28 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Fuel Production Change | 0.157000 | -0.075000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 3.032000 | -2.527000 | -1.300000 | -0.80 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Crude Oil Imports | 0.846000 | -0.692000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | EIA Weekly Refinery Utilization Rates WoW | 1.500000 | 0.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | Current Account | -190.700000 | -239.100000 | -211.000000 | -202.93 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Import Prices YoY | 1.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.38 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Export Prices MoM | 1.500000 | 0.600000 | 0.500000 | 1.00 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Export Prices YoY | 3.500000 | 2.600000 | 2.200000 | 2.85 | low |
| 00:00 | US | Import Prices MoM | 1.300000 | 0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.68 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Purchase Index | 163.600000 | 172.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate | 6.430000 | 6.300000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Refinance Index | 1145.000000 | 1341.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Applications | -10.500000 | -10.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | MBA Mortgage Market Index | 310.700000 | 347.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | High Yield Spread (ICE BofA) | 3.170000 | 3.190000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread | 0.490000 | 0.490000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Treasury Yield | 3.840000 | 3.900000 | - | - | critical |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Treasury Yield | 4.330000 | 4.390000 | - | - | critical |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | US | Trade Weighted US Dollar Index (Broad) | 120.129500 | 119.937100 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 5-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.550000 | 2.530000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | 10-Year Breakeven Inflation | 2.330000 | 2.330000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | S&P 500 Index | 6556.370000 | 6581.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | USD/EUR Exchange Rate | 1.157800 | 1.158700 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | JPY/USD Exchange Rate | 158.900000 | 158.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | US | CBOE VIX | 26.950000 | 26.150000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 10Y-3M Treasury Spread | 0.650000 | 0.600000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | 30-Year Treasury Yield | 4.940000 | 4.910000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Fed Funds Daily | 3.640000 | 3.640000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | WTI Crude Oil Price | 93.180000 | 89.330000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | Brent Crude Oil Price | 108.420000 | 103.790000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 2.300000 | 6.600000 | -1.300000 | 2.44 | medium |
| 00:00 | US | Money Supply | 22.650000 | 22.440000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | M2 Money Supply MoM | 22.650000 | 22.440000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | US | 2-Year Note Auction | 3.936000 | 3.455000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost Index QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.48 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Employment Cost - Wages QoQ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.3 | 99.5 | 99.8 | 99.67 | Low |
| Monday, February 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.38 | Low |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 24.05 | 4.7 | 9 | 11.29 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 56.6 | 57 | 55 | 55.02 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 57.3 | 56.4 | 53 | 53.68 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 58.3 | 55.4 | 53 | 54.20 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 3.5 | 4 | 4 | 3.98 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.33 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | - | 50 | 40 | 35.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | - | 34.2 | 34.2 | 34.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | - | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | - | 37 | 32 | 18.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | - | -8 | -10 | -11.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | - | 62.4 | 62.3 | 62.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | - | 8.4 | 8.5 | 8.30 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | - | 13 | 8 | 19.50 | Low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 6.542 | 6.928 | 7 | 6.84 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 231 | 209 | 214 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 212.25 | 206.25 | 210 | 209.08 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 108.435 | 35.553 | 43 | 40.10 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | - | 16 | 15.5 | 15.67 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 50.3 | 51.7 | 52.3 | 52.55 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 53.1 | 56.5 | 55 | 55.85 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.5 | 54.13 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 66.6 | 65.1 | 65 | 65.25 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.47 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.78 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 14.9 | 16 | 15.5 | 15.67 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 22 | 37 | 35 | 35.50 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47 | 46.97 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 48.8 | 47.2 | 47.9 | 47.88 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | - | 7.146 | 7 | 6.84 | High |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | - | 3.161 | 3.15 | 3.19 | Low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.13 | Medium |
| 16:10 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.13 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.13 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 57.1 | 47.4 | 47.9 | 49.27 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 48.1 | 44.8 | 44.8 | 45.50 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 59 | 58.5 | 59.9 | 60.55 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 52.6 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.90 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.4 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 52.00 | Low |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:45 | US | Chicago PMI | 54 | 42.7 | 45 | 46.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3 | 3.15 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 3 | 3 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.63 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | 2.7 | -0.1 | 1.4 | 1.70 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -56.8 | -29.2 | -37 | -35.07 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Exports | 292.1 | 303 | 303 | 302.98 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 5.38 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Imports | 348.9 | 332.1 | 340 | NaN | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | -1.9 | -2.63 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index | -3 | -6 | -2 | -2.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -5 | -11 | -6 | -5.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -6 | -7 | -3 | -4.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | CB Consumer Confidence | 84.5 | 94.2 | 90.6 | 90.02 | High |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.22 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.13 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index | 439.3 | 436.8 | 438 | 439.57 | Low |
| 14:00 | US | House Price Index YoY | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 1.68 | Low |
| Monday, January 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 5.3 | -2.1 | 1.1 | 3.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.42 | -0.4 | -0.22 | Medium |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.43 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 53.60 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 54.68 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.47 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.02 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 52.5 | 52.3 | 52.30 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.8 | 52 | 52.00 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 52.7 | 52.8 | 52.80 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 52.5 | 52.8 | 52.77 | High |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 51.8 | 52.1 | 52.20 | High |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | - | 1 | 4 | 8.00 | Low |
| 16:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | - | -3 | 5 | 9.50 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 15:00 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | - | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | - | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Corporate Profits QoQ | - | 0.2 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | - | 198 | 195 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | - | 1884 | 1880 | 1874.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | - | 205 | 203 | 202.08 | High |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | - | 7.5 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | - | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | - | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | - | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.23 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | - | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | - | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Construction Spending MoM | - | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | - | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | - | 52.9 | 54 | 54.68 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | - | 50.4 | 52.4 | 53.60 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | - | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.47 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 39 | 40 | 38.50 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | - | 54.6 | 55 | 55.02 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.35 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76 | 76 | 76.15 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.2 | 0.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 1.9 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 14:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -71 | -119 | -90 | -88.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 198 | 207 | 215 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | 0.4 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.08 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.48 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | - | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.58 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.65 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | - | 3.8 | 3 | 3.65 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1884 | 1903 | 1890 | 1884.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 7.7 | -3.7 | 1 | 4.35 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | - | 0 | -0.1 | 0.40 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.6 | -8.8 | -2 | 5.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 205 | 211.5 | 215 | 214.08 | High |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.03 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.03 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.029 | 5.594 | -0.2 | 0.30 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 3.391 | -3.831 | -2.2 | 0.58 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 8.977 | 7.702 | 4 | 4.97 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | - | 47.9 | 47.4 | 47.37 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.35 | 4.14 | 4.21 | 4.28 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | 5.1 | 0.7 | -1.6 | 1.75 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.00 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 2.9 | 3.02 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 3 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.55 | High |
| 13:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | - | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | - | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Current Account | -226.4 | -249.2 | -238.4 | -230.32 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.48 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3 | 3.27 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.23 | High |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 5.27 | -2.8 | -2 | 1.74 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -145 | -173 | -150 | -147.50 | Medium |
| 19:00 | US | Budget Balance | -145 | -173 | -144.5 | -144.75 | Medium |
| 15:10 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 15:10 | US | IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 800 | 710 | 710.00 | High |
| 15:00 | US | New Home Sales | - | 0.8 | 0.69 | 0.69 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index | 47.2 | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.17 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.65 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI | 324.05 | 324.12 | 323.8 | 323.93 | High |
| 13:30 | US | CPI s.a | 326.03 | 325.031 | 325.7 | 325.87 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.411 | 1.415 | 1.412 | 2.81 | Low |
| 11:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.5 | 99 | 99.5 | 99.38 | Low |
| Monday, January 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Corn | 13.28 | 1.55 | 13.1 | 13.11 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Wheat | 1.68 | 2.13 | 1.65 | 1.65 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Quarterly Grain Stocks - Soy | 3.29 | 0.32 | 3.28 | 3.28 | Low |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 16:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | - | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.33 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 54 | 52.9 | 53.5 | 54.18 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 52.4 | 50.4 | 50.5 | 51.70 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.17 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 55 | 54.6 | 54.2 | 54.22 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.33 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.60 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.246 | 1.306 | 1.33 | 1.29 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -4.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -1.90 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Building Permits | 6.4 | -2.3 | 0.8 | 2.20 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 13 | 6 | -10 | 1.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.45 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | -8 | -2 | -5 | -6.50 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 37 | 50 | 64 | 50.50 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Participation Rate | 62.4 | 62.5 | 62.6 | 62.50 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 50 | 56 | 60 | 55.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.2 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.25 | Low |
| Thursday, January 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 20:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10 | 7.12 | Low |
| 20:00 | US | BoE Consumer Credit | 4.23 | 9.24 | 10.1 | 12.39 | Medium |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.63 | Medium |
| 16:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | -119 | -38 | -114 | -112.17 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 13:30 | US | Nonfarm Productivity QoQ | 4.9 | 4.1 | 3 | 3.48 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 208 | 200 | 210 | NaN | High |
| 13:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1914 | 1858 | 1900 | 1894.00 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 211.75 | 219 | 210.75 | 209.83 | High |
| 13:30 | US | Unit Labour Costs QoQ | -1.9 | -2.9 | 1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 13:30 | US | Balance of Trade | -29.4 | -48.1 | -58.9 | -56.97 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 86.10 | Low |
| 10:30 | US | Challenger Job Cuts | 35.553 | 71.321 | 89 | 86.10 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 15:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 7.702 | 5.845 | 2.9 | 3.87 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -3.831 | -1.934 | 1.1 | 3.88 | Medium |
| 15:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 5.594 | 4.977 | 2.2 | 2.70 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Openings | 7.146 | 7.449 | 7.6 | 7.44 | High |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders ex Transportation | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.25 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Factory Orders MoM | -1.3 | 0.2 | -1.2 | -0.90 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | JOLTs Job Quits | 3.161 | 2.973 | 2.99 | 3.03 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.2 | 52.83 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | 53.45 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 49 | 49.25 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 64.9 | 65.15 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | 54.4 | 52.6 | 52.3 | 53.35 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | 56 | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | 57.9 | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | 52 | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | 64.3 | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.50 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | ADP Employment Change | 41 | -29 | 47 | 47.50 | High |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 21:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -2.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4.94 | Medium |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.7 | 54.2 | 53 | 52.98 | Low |
| 14:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.5 | 54.1 | 52.9 | 52.87 | Low |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 19:00 | US | Total Vehicle Sales | 16 | 15.6 | 15.7 | 15.87 | Low |
| 17:00 | US | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 2.93 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Business Activity | - | 54.5 | 54 | 55.00 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Prices | - | 65.4 | 65.5 | 64.90 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services Employment | - | 48.9 | 48.7 | 50.35 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services New Orders | - | 52.9 | 52.2 | 55.05 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Services PMI | - | 52.6 | 52 | 53.05 | High |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Employment | 44.9 | 44 | 44.1 | 44.80 | Medium |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing New Orders | 47.7 | 47.4 | 47.2 | 48.57 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing Prices | 58.5 | 58.5 | 59 | 59.65 | Low |
| 15:00 | US | ISM Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48.2 | 48.3 | 49.00 | High |
