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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread fell to 0.38 Percent in June 2026
FREDDailyReleased June 2026
US 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread fell to 0.38 Percent in June 2026, down 0.02 Percent from May's 0.4 Percent reading.
Latest Release
0.380000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
10Y-2Y Treasury Spread (United States) was reported at 0.38 Percent in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.40 Percent. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.55 Percent, ranging from 0.38 Percent to 0.74 Percent across 250 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.39 Percent, down from the prior three at 0.41 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.08 Percent) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.26 Percent). In June readings over the past 3 years, 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread has averaged -0.04 Percent.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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10Y-2Y Treasury Spread - US
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About 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread — United States
DEFINITION
The US 10Y-2Y Treasury Spread stood at 0.400000% on June 15, unchanged from May's 0.390000%. The spread remains positive, indicating continued yield curve steepness after a slight dip earlier in June. Market focus stays on Federal Reserve signals amid stable long-short Treasury yield differentials. Updated 6/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.38 Percent. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.4 Percent. Before that (Jun 2026): 0.39 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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