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US Labour Productivity QoQ climbed to 0.7 in Q1 2025, released February 2025, up 1.8 from December's -1.1 reading. The print exceeded the -0.1 consensus by 0.8.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Labour Productivity QoQ (United States) was reported at 0.70 in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of -0.10 by 0.80. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.10.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Monthly Report (Jun 11) and Core PPI MoM (Jun 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
Labour Productivity QoQ is a financial indicator that measures the change in the amount of goods or services produced per hour worked in a given quarter. It provides valuable insights into the efficiency and effectiveness of a country's workforce and can be used to assess the overall health and growth of an economy. A positive QoQ (quarter-over-quarter) change in labour productivity indicates an increase in output per hour worked, while a negative change may suggest a decline in productivity. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can impact economic growth, inflation, and wages.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI | 335.12 | 333.02 | 335.11 | 335.12 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 333.979 | 332.407 | 333.7 | 333.84 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 4.2 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -0.2 | 1.502 | -0.5 | -0.35 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.186 | 3.364 | -0.5 | -0.16 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.228 | -7.974 | -4 | -5.61 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -293 | 215 | -275 | -284.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -293 | 215 | -282.9 | -287.95 | Medium | |
| Thursday, June 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6 | 6.4 | 6.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 225 | 219 | 219.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1777 | 1780 | 1780.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 5.2 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 214.75 | 216.5 | 216.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.496 | 157.5 | 157.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 95 | 101 | 101.00 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 45.8 | 46.2 | 47.65 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 44.1 | 44.3 | 44.10 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 44.8 | 46 | 46.25 | High | ||
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 9 | 7.30 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76 | 76.05 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 36 | 36.50 | Medium | ||