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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Real Earnings MoM held to -0.2% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Real Earnings MoM held to -0.2% in May 2026, released June 2026.
Latest Release
-0.200000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Real Earnings MoM (United States) was reported at -0.2% in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0%, ranging from -0.4% to 0.5% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.1%, down from the prior three at 0.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Real Earnings MoM - US
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About Real Earnings MoM — United States
DEFINITION
US Real Earnings MoM for May registered at -0.20%, unchanged from April's -0.20%, indicating continued contraction in real wage growth. This marks a persistent decline following April's sharper -0.90% drop, reflecting ongoing pressure on consumer purchasing power. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and Federal Reserve policy signals. Updated 6/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -0.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -0.2 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bearish AUD, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.