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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Average Earnings incl. Bonus climbed to 6.0% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Average Earnings incl. Bonus climbed to 6.0% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 0.5% from December's 5.5% reading. The reading matched the 5.9% consensus.
Latest Release
6.000000
Actual
5.900000
Consensus
5.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Average Earnings incl. Bonus (United States) was reported at 6% in January 2025. This beat the market consensus of 5.9% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 5.5%. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Average Earnings incl. Bonus - US
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About Average Earnings incl. Bonus — United States
DEFINITION
Average Earnings incl. Bonus is a financial indicator that measures the average amount of money earned by employees, including any bonuses or additional compensation. This metric provides insight into the overall income levels of a company's workforce and can be used to assess the financial health and performance of an organization. It is often used by investors, analysts, and businesses to evaluate the profitability and competitiveness of a company. A higher average earnings incl. bonus indicates a stronger financial position and potential for growth, while a lower figure may suggest potential challenges in attracting and retaining top talent.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.