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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism climbed to 48.8 in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2026
US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism climbed to 48.8 in January 2026, released February 2026, up 1.6 from December's 47.2 reading. The reading matched the 47.9 consensus.
Latest Release
48.800000
Actual
47.900000
Consensus
47.200000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.31
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 47.4
Actual: 48.8
Error: -1.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.66 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The February 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 47.2. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.31. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AAPL (Bullish AAPL) and positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD).
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IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism - US
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | |