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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Services PMI fell to 58.5 in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Services PMI fell to 58.5 in January 2025, released February 2025, down 12.6 from December's 71.1 reading. The reading missed the 67 consensus by 8.5.
Latest Release
58.500000
Actual
67.000000
Consensus
71.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Services PMI (United States) was reported at 58.50 in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 67.00 by 8.50. The reading fell from the previous value of 71.10.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug 20) and Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 20).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Services PMI - US
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About Services PMI — United States
DEFINITION
Services PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) is a key economic indicator that measures the performance of the services sector in a country. It provides valuable insights into the health of the economy by tracking changes in business activity, new orders, employment, and prices. A high Services PMI indicates a growing services sector, while a low PMI suggests a contraction. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the overall economic outlook.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 4.405 | 17.422 | -0.6 | 1.90 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.688 | -0.968 | -1.2 | -0.26 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.53 | -0.01 | -0.9 | -1.22 | Low |
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1777 | 1790 | 1786.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 41.4 | 25 | 15.80 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 209 | 210 | 209.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 199 | 200 | 199.75 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 36 | 15 | 18.00 | Low | |
| Friday, August 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Composite PMI | 54.5 | 53.2 | 53.30 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.6 | 54 | 53.90 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | US | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.9 | 53.9 | 54.65 | Medium | |
| Monday, August 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.02 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |