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US Michigan Expectations climbed to 88.1 in April 2017, released May 2017, up 1.1 from March's 87 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Michigan Expectations (United States) was reported at 88.10 in May 2017. The reading rose from the previous value of 87.00. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Import Prices MoM (Oct 16) and Export Prices MoM (Oct 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2017.
Index The Michigan Expectations Index is a financial indicator that measures the level of confidence and future expectations among consumers in the state of Michigan. It is based on a survey of households and provides valuable insights into the economic outlook and potential spending patterns in the region. This index is widely used by economists and investors to gauge the overall sentiment and potential growth in the Michigan economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2017): actual 88.1.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.3 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 5.80 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | 20.9 | 37.8 | 28.4 | 24.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 25.5 | 7.6 | 10.3 | 17.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 5 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 4.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1710 | 1714 | 1710 | 1706.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 199 | 198 | 200 | 193.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 159.78 | 157.411 | 159.1 | 159.44 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198.5 | 198.25 | 199 | 197.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.70 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 6.3 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.75 | High | |
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.05 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 67 | 85 | 76 | 73.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | |
| 15:30 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | |
| 16:00 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 3.518 | 0.382 | -0.5 | 1.51 | Medium | |
| 16:00 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -8.557 | -3.186 | -0.3 | -4.43 | Medium | |
| 16:00 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -2.527 | -0.042 | -1.6 | -2.06 | Low | |
| Friday, October 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 0.6 | 1 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 7 | 7.9 | 8.35 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.6 | 9.4 | 9.45 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1 | 0.80 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.3 | 76.5 | 76.45 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.85 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -167 | -29 | -29.00 | Medium | ||
| 20:00 | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | -27.9 | 75.2 | 75.20 | Medium | ||
| Monday, October 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 32 | 31 | 31.00 | Medium | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.085 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||