Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS S&P Global Composite PMI fell to 51.4 in March 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2026
US S&P Global Composite PMI fell to 51.4 in March 2026, released April 2026, down 0.5 from February's 51.9 reading. The reading matched the 51.4 consensus.
Latest Release
51.400000
Actual
51.400000
Consensus
51.900000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.39
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Apr 2026
Predicted: 51.45
Actual: 51.4
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 51.9. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.39. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500) and negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP).
SHARE
S&P Global Composite PMI - US
Loading chart data...
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | |