Loading page content
Loading page content
US S&P Global Composite PMI fell to 51.4 in March 2026, released April 2026, down 0.5 from February's 51.9 reading. The reading matched the 51.4 consensus.
across last 12 releases
Apr 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 51.9. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.39. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500) and negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | ||