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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Construction Orders YoY climbed to -0.1% in January 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2025
US Construction Orders YoY climbed to -0.1% in January 2025, released February 2025, up 9.6% from December's -9.7% reading. The reading missed the 15.0% consensus by 15.1%.
Latest Release
-0.100000
Actual
15.000000
Consensus
-9.700000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Construction Orders YoY (United States) was reported at -0.1% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 15% by 15.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of -9.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Goods Trade Balance Adv (Jun 26) and Wholesale Inventories MoM (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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Construction Orders YoY - US
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About Construction Orders YoY — United States
DEFINITION
Construction Orders YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total value of new construction orders received by companies in a specific time period compared to the same period in the previous year. This indicator is used to assess the overall health and growth of the construction industry and can provide valuable insights into the future outlook of the economy. A positive YoY growth in construction orders indicates a strong demand for new construction projects, while a negative growth may suggest a slowdown in the industry. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers to make informed decisions about the construction sector and its impact on the overall economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, June 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83 | -85.2 | -85.20 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -83.01 | -85.4 | -85.40 | Medium | |