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US New Home Sales climbed to 0.68 in March 2026, released May 2026, up 0.05 from February's 0.64 reading. The reading matched the 0.65 consensus. New Home Sales has now risen for 3 consecutive months. The reading is in the 63rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | STOCKS | Bullish AAPL | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 0.64. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±3.4. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD) and positively correlated with AAPL (Bullish AAPL).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 11 | 7.5 | 11.55 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium | |
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 75.7 | 75.8 | 75.82 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.75 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.28 | Low | |
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.76 | 0.4 | 0.75 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 34 | 34 | 31.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, May 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | -1.1 | -0.5 | -0.50 | Medium | ||