Loading page content
Loading page content
US Investment Lending for Homes fell to -2.9% in January 2025, released February 2025, down 8.0% from December's 5.1% reading. The reading missed the 0.5% consensus by 3.4%.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Investment Lending for Homes (United States) was reported at -2.9% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 0.5% by 3.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.1%. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
Investment Lending for Homes is a financial indicator that measures the amount of money being lent by financial institutions for the purpose of purchasing residential properties. This indicator is used to assess the level of activity in the housing market and can provide insights into the overall health of the economy. It is an important tool for investors, lenders, and policymakers in making informed decisions about real estate investments and economic policies.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 19.6 | 13.2 | 11.50 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:15 | Capacity Utilization | 76.1 | 76.2 | 76.25 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.55 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 13:15 | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.35 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 37 | 37.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1795 | 1790 | 1790.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index | -0.4 | 10 | 10.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 219 | 223 | 223.00 | Low | ||