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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Brent Crude Oil Price held to 126.55 Dollars per Barrel in October 2026
FREDDailyReleased October 2026
US Brent Crude Oil Price held to 126.55 Dollars per Barrel in October 2026.
Latest Release
126.550000
Actual
—
Consensus
126.550000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Brent Crude Oil Price (United States) was reported at 126.55 Dollars per Barrel in October 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 88.53 Dollars per Barrel, ranging from 59.93 Dollars per Barrel to 138.21 Dollars per Barrel across 249 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 127.43 Dollars per Barrel, down from the prior three at 128.74 Dollars per Barrel. Volatility over the past year (σ 21.97 Dollars per Barrel) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.71 Dollars per Barrel). In October readings over the past 3 years, Brent Crude Oil Price has averaged 81.28 Dollars per Barrel.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Oct 21) and EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Brent Crude Oil Price - US
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About Brent Crude Oil Price — United States
DEFINITION
US Brent Crude Oil Price rose to 126.550000 USD on October 14, 2026, up from 125.780000 USD on October 13, 2026. This slight increase reflects a stable but firm market tone following recent volatility. Oil prices remain sensitive to supply dynamics and geopolitical factors ahead of upcoming inventory reports. Updated 10/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 126.6 Dollars per Barrel. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 125.8 Dollars per Barrel. Before that (Oct 2026): 130 Dollars per Barrel.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, October 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.221 | 1.288 | 1.3 | 1.26 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -5.2 | -5.9 | 1.9 | -1.65 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.4 | 1.403 | 1.39 | 1.39 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits MoM | -0.2 | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.47 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -11.3 | -4.7 | 1 | -5.15 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | -7.3 | 0.3 | -0.5 | -3.90 | Medium |
| 20:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -4.93 | -11.12 | -1.3 | -3.12 | Medium |
| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198.5 | 200 | 197.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1710 | 1720 | 1713.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 199 | 200 | 187.50 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 67 | 83 | 81.50 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 14 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 20 | 18 | 21.00 | Low | |