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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Brent Crude Oil Price held to 81.62 Dollars per Barrel in July 2026
FREDDailyReleased July 2026
US Brent Crude Oil Price held to 81.62 Dollars per Barrel in July 2026.
Latest Release
81.620000
Actual
—
Consensus
81.620000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.25 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Brent Crude Oil Price (United States) was reported at 81.62 Dollars per Barrel in July 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 78.91 Dollars per Barrel, ranging from 59.93 Dollars per Barrel to 138.21 Dollars per Barrel across 248 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 76.81 Dollars per Barrel, up from the prior three at 72.61 Dollars per Barrel. Volatility over the past year (σ 19.42 Dollars per Barrel) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.96 Dollars per Barrel). In July readings over the past 3 years, Brent Crude Oil Price has averaged 77.95 Dollars per Barrel.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jul 21) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Brent Crude Oil Price - US
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About Brent Crude Oil Price — United States
DEFINITION
US Brent Crude Oil Price rose to 81.620000 USD in July, up from June’s 74.340000 USD, marking a significant increase. July’s price surge reflects tightening supply conditions and stronger demand dynamics compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming inventory reports and OPEC decisions for further direction. Updated 7/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 81.62 Dollars per Barrel. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 74.34 Dollars per Barrel. Before that (Jul 2026): 74.46 Dollars per Barrel.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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