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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Brent Crude Oil Price held to 96.02 Dollars per Barrel in September 2026
FREDDailyReleased September 2026
US Brent Crude Oil Price held to 96.02 Dollars per Barrel in September 2026.
Latest Release
96.020000
Actual
—
Consensus
96.020000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Brent Crude Oil Price (United States) was reported at 96.02 Dollars per Barrel in September 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 82.15 Dollars per Barrel, ranging from 59.93 Dollars per Barrel to 138.21 Dollars per Barrel across 247 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 91.98 Dollars per Barrel, up from the prior three at 89.57 Dollars per Barrel. Volatility over the past year (σ 19.40 Dollars per Barrel) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.54 Dollars per Barrel). In September readings over the past 3 years, Brent Crude Oil Price has averaged 77.42 Dollars per Barrel.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Monthly Report (Sep 10) and Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Brent Crude Oil Price - US
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About Brent Crude Oil Price — United States
DEFINITION
US Brent Crude Oil Price rose to 96.020000 USD in August, up from July’s 89.750000 USD, marking a notable increase. The price climbed steadily through August, peaking above 96 USD after a mid-month dip below 90 USD. Market focus now shifts to how sustained supply constraints and demand dynamics will influence prices in the coming months. Updated 9/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 96.02 Dollars per Barrel. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 89.75 Dollars per Barrel. Before that (Aug 2026): 90.18 Dollars per Barrel.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:00 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -0.3 | -2.6 | -1.3 | -0.80 | Medium |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 156.563 | 157 | 157.08 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1779 | 1780 | 1787.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 205 | 210.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.55 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.25 | 206 | 207.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.06 | 3.98 | 3.98 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -1.7 | -0.2 | -0.20 | Medium | |
| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 332.81 | 334.14 | 334.14 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 333.92 | 334.85 | 334.85 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Current Conditions | 51.9 | 51.3 | 52.40 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 51.5 | 50.5 | 53.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 51.7 | 51 | 52.45 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4 | 3.9 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -432 | -480 | -480.00 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -432 | -202.5 | -202.50 | Medium | |