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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS WTI Crude Oil Price held to 91.48 Dollars per Barrel in September 2026
FREDDailyReleased September 2026
US WTI Crude Oil Price held to 91.48 Dollars per Barrel in September 2026.
Latest Release
91.480000
Actual
—
Consensus
91.480000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
WTI Crude Oil Price (United States) was reported at 91.48 Dollars per Barrel in September 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 76.26 Dollars per Barrel, ranging from 55.44 Dollars per Barrel to 114.58 Dollars per Barrel across 247 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a daily basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 87.69 Dollars per Barrel, up from the prior three at 84.06 Dollars per Barrel. Volatility over the past year (σ 16.76 Dollars per Barrel) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.25 Dollars per Barrel). In September readings over the past 3 years, WTI Crude Oil Price has averaged 74.46 Dollars per Barrel.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with NZD/USD (Bearish NZD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Sep 6) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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WTI Crude Oil Price - US
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About WTI Crude Oil Price — United States
DEFINITION
US WTI Crude Oil Price rose to 91.480000 USD on September 1, up from August 31’s 87.030000 USD. This increase marks a notable gain in crude prices over the final trading days of August into September. Market participants will watch for further supply-demand signals amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Updated 9/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released daily.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 91.48 Dollars per Barrel. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 87.03 Dollars per Barrel. Before that (Aug 2026): 84.57 Dollars per Barrel.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, September 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.05 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Participation Rate | 61.6 | 61.4 | 61.4 | 61.50 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.4 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 35 | -50 | -11 | 12.00 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | 16 | 14 | 5 | 10.50 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 162 | 21 | 56 | 109.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.10 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 127 | 71 | 45 | 86.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8 | 7.85 | High |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.709 | 3.71 | Low | |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 11.3 | 11.30 | Low | |