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US API Gasoline Stock Change fell to -0.48M in May 2013, down 0.29M from April's -0.19M reading. The print exceeded the -0.63M consensus by 0.15M. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -2.71M.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
API Gasoline Stock Change (United States) was reported at 3.03 million in May 2013. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.48 million.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Cost Index QoQ (Jul 31) and Employment Cost - Wages QoQ (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2013.
API Gasoline Stock Change is a key financial indicator that measures the weekly change in the amount of gasoline held in inventory by U.S. refineries. This data is released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and industry experts as it provides valuable insights into the supply and demand dynamics of the gasoline market. A positive change in API Gasoline Stock indicates an increase in supply, while a negative change suggests a decrease in supply. This indicator is an important tool for predicting future gasoline prices and assessing the overall health of the energy sector.
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2013): actual 3.03 M. Prior reading (May 2013): -0.48 M. Before that (May 2013): -2.71 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.23 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -0.35 | Medium | |
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | 0.63 | Low | |
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.63 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 192.75 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.88 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1786.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 205.06 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High | |
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.82 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.52 | Low | |
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 28 | 32 | 35 | 33.00 | Low | |