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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change climbed to -0.2 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change climbed to -0.2 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.04 from April's -0.25 reading.
Latest Release
-0.204000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.246000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (United States) was reported at -0.20 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.25. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.01, ranging from -0.85 to 0.83 across 45 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.07, down from the prior three at 0.16. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.41) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.44). In June readings over the past 3 years, EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change has averaged -0.04.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with NZD/USD (Bullish NZD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun 25) and Durable Goods Orders MoM (Jun 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change - US
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About EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change — United States
DEFINITION
The EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change is a key financial indicator that measures the weekly change in the amount of heating oil held in storage by commercial firms in the United States. This data is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it provides valuable insights into the current and future demand for heating oil, which can impact prices and market trends. The EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change is considered a reliable gauge of the health of the heating oil market and can be used to inform investment decisions and risk management strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.204 M. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.246 M. Before that (Jun 2026): 0.255 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 7.9 | -4.3 | -4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 226 | 225 | 225.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1810 | 1800 | 1784.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 8.1 | -3.9 | -3.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 223.25 | 226 | 225.25 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 6 | 10.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | |
| Friday, June 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83 | -85.2 | -85.20 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -83.01 | -85.4 | -85.40 | Medium | |