Loading page content
Loading page content
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 215,711 Thousand Barrels in May 2026, down 4,084 Thousand Barrels from April's 219,795 Thousand Barrels reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Total Motor Gasoline Stocks (United States) was reported at 215,711.00 Thousand Barrels in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 219,795.00 Thousand Barrels. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 230,048.12 Thousand Barrels, ranging from 205,064.00 Thousand Barrels to 259,058.00 Thousand Barrels across 50 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 219,268.33 Thousand Barrels, down from the prior three at 233,530.00 Thousand Barrels. Volatility over the past year (σ 14,735.79 Thousand Barrels) is higher than the prior year (σ 11,640.76 Thousand Barrels). In May readings over the past 3 years, Total Motor Gasoline Stocks has averaged 224,714.92 Thousand Barrels.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 219,795 K bbl in April, down from March’s 222,299 K bbl, marking a continued decline in inventories. This decrease signals tightening supply conditions as stocks have steadily dropped since February’s 253,130 K bbl. Market participants will watch upcoming demand data closely amid this inventory draw. Updated 5/13/26
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released weekly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 215,711 Thousand Barrels. Prior reading (May 2026): 219,795 Thousand Barrels. Before that (Apr 2026): 222,299 Thousand Barrels.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.1 | -0.05 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 441.4 | 441.8 | 440.20 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 0.9 | 1 | 1.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | CB Consumer Confidence | 92.8 | 91.9 | 93.80 | High | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | -2.3 | -1 | 0.85 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 9 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | -2 | -1 | -4.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 3 | 4 | 3.00 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Index | -9.9 | -8 | -10.40 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.55 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Corporate Profits QoQ | 5.7 | 4.1 | 4.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 209 | 212 | 212.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.5 | 209 | 209.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1796 | 1796.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | GDP Price Index QoQ | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 4.05 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | GDP Sales QoQ | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Prices QoQ | 2.9 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.5 | 2 | 2.00 | High | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.682 | 0.67 | 0.67 | Medium | ||