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Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 215,711 Thousand Barrels in May 2026
U.S. Energy Information AdministrationWeeklyReleased May 2026
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 215,711 Thousand Barrels in May 2026, down 4,084 Thousand Barrels from April's 219,795 Thousand Barrels reading.
Latest Release
215711.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
219795.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Total Motor Gasoline Stocks (United States) was reported at 215,711.00 Thousand Barrels in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 219,795.00 Thousand Barrels. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 230,048.12 Thousand Barrels, ranging from 205,064.00 Thousand Barrels to 259,058.00 Thousand Barrels across 50 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 219,268.33 Thousand Barrels, down from the prior three at 233,530.00 Thousand Barrels. Volatility over the past year (σ 14,735.79 Thousand Barrels) is higher than the prior year (σ 11,640.76 Thousand Barrels). In May readings over the past 3 years, Total Motor Gasoline Stocks has averaged 224,714.92 Thousand Barrels.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 25) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Total Motor Gasoline Stocks - US
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About Total Motor Gasoline Stocks — United States
DEFINITION
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 219,795 K bbl in April, down from March’s 222,299 K bbl, marking a continued decline in inventories. This decrease signals tightening supply conditions as stocks have steadily dropped since February’s 253,130 K bbl. Market participants will watch upcoming demand data closely amid this inventory draw. Updated 5/13/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 215,711 Thousand Barrels. Prior reading (May 2026): 219,795 Thousand Barrels. Before that (Apr 2026): 222,299 Thousand Barrels.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.