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Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 204,362 Thousand Barrels in September 2026
U.S. Energy Information AdministrationWeeklyReleased September 2026
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 204,362 Thousand Barrels in September 2026, down 1,684 Thousand Barrels from August's 206,046 Thousand Barrels reading.
Latest Release
204362.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
206046.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Total Motor Gasoline Stocks (United States) was reported at 204,362.00 Thousand Barrels in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 206,046.00 Thousand Barrels. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 224,405.80 Thousand Barrels, ranging from 204,362.00 Thousand Barrels to 259,058.00 Thousand Barrels across 49 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 206,046.67 Thousand Barrels, down from the prior three at 206,483.00 Thousand Barrels. Volatility over the past year (σ 18,022.75 Thousand Barrels) is higher than the prior year (σ 11,330.84 Thousand Barrels). In September readings over the past 3 years, Total Motor Gasoline Stocks has averaged 215,370.50 Thousand Barrels.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include EIA Gasoline Stocks Change (Oct 21) and EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Total Motor Gasoline Stocks - US
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About Total Motor Gasoline Stocks — United States
DEFINITION
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks fell to 204,362 K bbl in September, down from August’s 206,046 K bbl. This decline marks a continued draw in gasoline inventories, reflecting tightening supply conditions. Market focus remains on upcoming demand data and Federal Reserve policy amid persistent energy price pressures. Updated 10/7/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 204,362 Thousand Barrels. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 206,046 Thousand Barrels. Before that (Sep 2026): 207,732 Thousand Barrels.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, October 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.221 | 1.288 | 1.3 | 1.26 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts MoM | -5.2 | -5.9 | 1.9 | -1.65 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits | 1.4 | 1.403 | 1.39 | 1.39 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Building Permits MoM | -0.2 | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.47 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales YoY | -11.3 | -4.7 | 1 | -5.15 | Medium |
| 14:00 | US | Pending Home Sales MoM | -7.3 | 0.3 | -0.5 | -3.90 | Medium |
| 20:30 | US | API Crude Oil Stock Change | -4.93 | -11.12 | -1.3 | -3.12 | Medium |
| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198.5 | 200 | 197.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1710 | 1720 | 1713.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 199 | 200 | 187.50 | High | |
| 14:00 | US | Leading Index MoM | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 67 | 83 | 81.50 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 14 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 20 | 18 | 21.00 | Low | |