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Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Total Motor Gasoline Stocks climbed to 209,378 Thousand Barrels in August 2026
U.S. Energy Information AdministrationWeeklyReleased August 2026
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks climbed to 209,378 Thousand Barrels in August 2026, up 688 Thousand Barrels from July's 208,690 Thousand Barrels reading.
Latest Release
209378.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
208690.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Total Motor Gasoline Stocks (United States) was reported at 209,378.00 Thousand Barrels in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 208,690.00 Thousand Barrels. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 225,756.06 Thousand Barrels, ranging from 205,064.00 Thousand Barrels to 259,058.00 Thousand Barrels across 50 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 209,242.00 Thousand Barrels, down from the prior three at 211,041.33 Thousand Barrels. Volatility over the past year (σ 16,794.52 Thousand Barrels) is higher than the prior year (σ 11,467.02 Thousand Barrels). In August readings over the past 3 years, Total Motor Gasoline Stocks has averaged 220,118.00 Thousand Barrels.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Sep 6) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Total Motor Gasoline Stocks - US
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About Total Motor Gasoline Stocks — United States
DEFINITION
US Total Motor Gasoline Stocks rose to 209,378 K bbl in the week ending August 14, up from 208,690 K bbl the prior week ending August 7. This increase reverses the downward trend seen since early July, when stocks peaked above 216,000 K bbl. The steady inventory level supports stable fuel supply expectations amid ongoing market volatility. Updated 8/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 209,378 Thousand Barrels. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 208,690 Thousand Barrels. Before that (Jul 2026): 209,658 Thousand Barrels.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, September 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.05 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Participation Rate | 61.6 | 61.4 | 61.4 | 61.50 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.4 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 35 | -50 | -11 | 12.00 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | 16 | 14 | 5 | 10.50 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 162 | 21 | 56 | 109.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.10 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 127 | 71 | 45 | 86.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8 | 7.85 | High |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.709 | 3.71 | Low | |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 11.3 | 11.30 | Low | |