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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Regular Gas Price held to 3.86 Dollars per Gallon in July 2026
FREDWeeklyReleased July 2026
US Regular Gas Price held to 3.86 Dollars per Gallon in July 2026.
Latest Release
3.855000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.855000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Regular Gas Price (United States) was reported at 3.86 Dollars per Gallon in July 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.40 Dollars per Gallon, ranging from 2.78 Dollars per Gallon to 4.50 Dollars per Gallon across 52 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.82 Dollars per Gallon, down from the prior three at 4.04 Dollars per Gallon. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.55 Dollars per Gallon) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.11 Dollars per Gallon). In July readings over the past 3 years, Regular Gas Price has averaged 3.45 Dollars per Gallon.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include API Crude Oil Stock Change (Jul 21) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jul 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Regular Gas Price - US
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About Regular Gas Price — United States
DEFINITION
US Regular Gas Price rose to 3.855 USD in July, up from June’s 3.777 USD, marking a reversal after a steady decline since May’s 4.5 USD. July’s increase interrupts the downward trend observed over the previous two months. Market focus will remain on how this uptick influences consumer spending and energy inflation. Updated 7/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.855 Dollars per Gallon. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.777 Dollars per Gallon. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.831 Dollars per Gallon.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.46) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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