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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Regular Gas Price held to 4.07 Dollars per Gallon in August 2026
FREDWeeklyReleased August 2026
US Regular Gas Price held to 4.07 Dollars per Gallon in August 2026.
Latest Release
4.071000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.071000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Regular Gas Price (United States) was reported at 4.07 Dollars per Gallon in August 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.52 Dollars per Gallon, ranging from 2.78 Dollars per Gallon to 4.50 Dollars per Gallon across 52 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.07 Dollars per Gallon, up from the prior three at 4.06 Dollars per Gallon. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.58 Dollars per Gallon) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.06 Dollars per Gallon). In August readings over the past 3 years, Regular Gas Price has averaged 3.57 Dollars per Gallon.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include OPEC Meeting (Sep 6) and MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Regular Gas Price - US
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About Regular Gas Price — United States
DEFINITION
US Regular Gas Price for August came in at $4.071, slightly below July’s $4.085. The price edged down from July’s peak of $4.096 on July 27, indicating a modest retreat after a mid-summer rise. Market focus remains on supply dynamics and upcoming inventory reports amid stable demand. Updated 9/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 4.071 Dollars per Gallon. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 4.085 Dollars per Gallon. Before that (Aug 2026): 4.049 Dollars per Gallon.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.45) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, September 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.05 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Participation Rate | 61.6 | 61.4 | 61.4 | 61.50 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Average Weekly Hours | 34.4 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 34.35 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Government Payrolls | 35 | -50 | -11 | 12.00 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Manufacturing Payrolls | 16 | 14 | 5 | 10.50 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Non Farm Payrolls | 162 | 21 | 56 | 109.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Unemployment Rate | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.10 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Nonfarm Payrolls Private | 127 | 71 | 45 | 86.00 | High |
| 12:30 | US | U-6 Unemployment Rate | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8 | 7.85 | High |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.709 | 3.71 | Low | |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 11.3 | 11.30 | Low | |