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Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change climbed to 108.0 in June 2026
U.S. Energy Information AdministrationMonthlyReleased June 2026
US EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change climbed to 108.0 in June 2026, up 13.0 from May's 95.0 reading. The print exceeded the 101.0 consensus by 7.0. EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change averaged 62.0, vs -112.2 in the prior 3-month window. EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change is now the highest in 10 months.
Latest Release
108
Actual
101
Consensus
95
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±5.83
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 100.43
Actual: 108
Error: -7.57
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Bearish NZD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change (United States) was reported at 108.00 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 101.00 by 7.00. The reading rose from the previous value of 95.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 24.00, ranging from -177.00 to 108.00 across 37 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 98.33, up from the prior three at 74.00. Volatility over the past year (σ 77.24) is lower than the prior year (σ 108.15). In June readings over the past 3 years, EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change has averaged 92.00.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 5.83.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change - US
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About EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change — United States
DEFINITION
The EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change is a key financial indicator that measures the weekly change in the amount of natural gas held in storage facilities in the United States. This data is released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it provides insight into the supply and demand dynamics of the natural gas market. A positive change in natural gas stocks indicates an increase in supply, while a negative change suggests a decrease in supply. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the overall health and stability of the natural gas industry.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 108 M, consensus 101 M. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 95 M. Before that (May 2026): 92 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.