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US API Crude Stock Change climbed to 1.11M in May 2013, up 0.43M from April's 0.68M reading. The print exceeded the 0.2M consensus by 0.91M. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 5.18M.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
API Crude Stock Change (United States) was reported at 0.53 million in May 2013. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.11 million.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Aug 24) and Fed Barkin Speech (Aug 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2013.
API Crude Stock Change is a key financial indicator that measures the weekly change in crude oil inventories in the United States. This data is released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and industry professionals as it provides valuable insights into the supply and demand dynamics of the oil market. A significant increase or decrease in API Crude Stock Change can impact the price of crude oil and have a ripple effect on the global economy.
Energy-supply and inventory data shape commodity-curve positioning and feed through to headline inflation and consumer-discretionary spending. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2013): actual 0.53 M. Prior reading (May 2013): 1.11 M. Before that (May 2013): 5.18 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Monday, August 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.02 | 0.1 | 0.32 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 442.4 | 442.8 | 442.65 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.65 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.60 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.15 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 5 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.628 | 0.62 | 0.62 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -3 | -1 | 2.00 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 8 | 7 | 15.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | CB Consumer Confidence | 90.8 | 90.3 | 90.90 | High | ||
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.9 | 0.6 | -0.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 3.05 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Corporate Profits QoQ | 0.5 | 0.7 | -2.35 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.10 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low | ||
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -101.4 | -99 | -99.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 204 | 203 | 202.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 209 | 211.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | -0.4 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1799 | 1811 | 1814.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -101.41 | -99.9 | -99.90 | Medium | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 9 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||