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US GDP Consumer Spending QoQ Adv fell to 3.2% in Q3 2015, released October 2015, down 0.4% from June's 3.6% reading. The reading matched the 3.3% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.9%.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ Adv (United States) was reported at 2.2% in January 2016. The reading fell from the previous value of 3%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Fed Bank Stress Test Results (Jun 24) and Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun 25).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2016.
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ Adv is a key economic indicator that measures the change in consumer spending from one quarter to the next. It is an important measure of the overall health of the economy, as consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of GDP. A positive QoQ (quarter-over-quarter) advancement in consumer spending indicates a growing economy, while a negative advancement may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to assess the strength of consumer demand and make informed decisions.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Oct 2015): actual 2.2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2015): 3.2 %. Before that (Apr 2015): 2.9 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.7 | 55.1 | 54.8 | 55.25 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 50.7 | 51 | 51.15 | Medium | |
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.5 | 50.8 | 51.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 4 | 13 | 9 | 6.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -1 | 14 | 11 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 3 | 16 | 9 | 6.00 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.12 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 7.9 | -4.3 | -4.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 226 | 225 | 225.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | -1.1 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1810 | 1800 | 1784.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 8.1 | -3.9 | -3.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 223.25 | 226 | 225.25 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 8 | 6 | 10.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9 | 7 | 11.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -83.01 | -85.4 | -85.40 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -83 | -85.2 | -85.20 | Medium | ||