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US GDP Consumer Spending QoQ Adv fell to 3.2% in Q3 2015, released October 2015, down 0.4% from June's 3.6% reading. The reading matched the 3.3% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.9%.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ Adv (United States) was reported at 2.2% in January 2016. The reading fell from the previous value of 3%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2016.
GDP Consumer Spending QoQ Adv is a key economic indicator that measures the change in consumer spending from one quarter to the next. It is an important measure of the overall health of the economy, as consumer spending accounts for a significant portion of GDP. A positive QoQ (quarter-over-quarter) advancement in consumer spending indicates a growing economy, while a negative advancement may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to assess the strength of consumer demand and make informed decisions.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Oct 2015): actual 2.2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2015): 3.2 %. Before that (Apr 2015): 2.9 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 197.75 | 198.75 | 200 | 198.88 | High | |
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1728 | 1703 | 1720 | 1724.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 194 | 200 | 200 | 197.00 | High | |
| 14:00 | Leading Index MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low | |
| 14:30 | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 67 | 79 | 78.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 11 | 14 | 11 | 11.00 | Low | |
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 16 | 20 | 18 | 17.00 | Low | |
| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 58.4 | 57.6 | 58.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 55.9 | 55.5 | 55.25 | Medium | ||
| 13:45 | S&P Global Services PMI | 58.8 | 58 | 59.05 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 48.1 | 47.6 | 47.60 | High | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 50.9 | 50.5 | 50.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 46.3 | 45.9 | 45.90 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 1 Year Inflation Expectations | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.70 | Low | ||
| Monday, October 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Chicago Fed National Activity Index | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 9.8 | 7 | 8.15 | Medium | ||
| 15:30 | 3-Month Bill Auction | 4.095 | 4.009 | 4.01 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, October 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits MoM | -2.1 | -0.7 | -0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:00 | Building Permits | 1.403 | 1.39 | 1.39 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.1 | 0 | -0.85 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | -0.1 | 0.6 | -0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.3 | -0.1 | -0.20 | High | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.05 | Medium | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 443.5 | 444.4 | 444.90 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.30 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | ||
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0 | -0.1 | 0.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | -2 | -3 | -5.50 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | 0 | -2 | -2.50 | Low | ||