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US GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv climbed to 1.8% in January 2013, released April 2013, up 0.1% from December's 1.7% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv (United States) was reported at 1.8% in April 2013. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.7%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Aug 26) and Durable Goods Orders MoM (Aug 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2013.
The GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv is a key financial indicator that measures the annual percentage change in a country's gross domestic product (GDP). It provides valuable insights into the overall health and performance of an economy, as a higher growth rate indicates a stronger and more robust economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses as it can impact investment decisions, government policies, and consumer confidence. A positive GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv is generally seen as a sign of economic growth and stability, while a negative growth rate may signal a potential economic downturn.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Apr 2013): actual 1.8 %.
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Tuesday, August 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.3 | -2.6 | 5 | 4.47 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.433 | 1.374 | 1.443 | 1.44 | Low | |
| 13:00 | House Price Index | 442.5 | 442.4 | 442.8 | 442.65 | Low | |
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 13:00 | S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.90 | Medium | |
| 13:00 | House Price Index YoY | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.25 | Low | |
| 13:00 | House Price Index MoM | 0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8.50 | Low | |
| 14:00 | New Home Sales | 0.607 | 0.678 | 0.62 | 0.60 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Services Index | -8 | -3 | -1 | -1.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments Index | 11 | 8 | 7 | 12.25 | Low | |
| 14:00 | CB Consumer Confidence | 89.4 | 90.2 | 90.3 | 89.85 | High | |
| 22:00 | API Crude Oil Stock Change | 4.2 | -0.328 | 1.8 | 3.00 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, August 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders MoM | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.05 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 3.05 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Corporate Profits QoQ | 0.5 | 0.7 | -2.35 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.15 | High | ||
| 12:30 | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.00 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Personal Spending MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Real Consumer Spending | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.20 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.53 | -1.7 | -2.25 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.688 | -1 | -1.09 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | 4.405 | 1.9 | 2.29 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, August 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance Adv | -101.4 | -99 | -99.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 204 | 203 | 202.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 206 | 208 | 210.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | -0.4 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1799 | 1790 | 1793.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Goods Trade Balance | -101.41 | -99.9 | -99.90 | Medium | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index | 17 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| 15:00 | Kansas Fed Composite Index | 9 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||