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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP Growth Annualized fell to 2.5% in November 2024
FMPQuarterlyReleased February 2025
US GDP Growth Annualized fell to 2.5% in November 2024, released February 2025, down 2.8% from October's 5.3% reading. The reading missed the 3.0% consensus by 0.5%.
Latest Release
2.500000
Actual
3.000000
Consensus
5.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish Stocks | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | COMMODITIES | Bearish Gold | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Annualized (United States) was reported at 2.5% in November 2024. This missed the market consensus of 3% by 0.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
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GDP Growth Annualized - US
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About GDP Growth Annualized — United States
DEFINITION
GDP Growth Annualized is a key economic indicator that measures the annualized rate of change in a country's gross domestic product (GDP). It provides insight into the overall health and growth of an economy, as well as its ability to produce goods and services. This indicator is closely monitored by governments, businesses, and investors as it can impact financial markets and influence policy decisions. A positive GDP Growth Annualized indicates a growing economy, while a negative growth rate may signal a slowdown or recession.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish Stocks, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.